GTE TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Gran Tierra Energy Inc. · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 10.52 CAD
1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a 25.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 10.52 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.4% latest completed week
4W Return 25.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -16.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.89% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 25.2%. Indicator stack 24/38 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.89% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 55/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a 25.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5012-week average 0.79

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.50Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 25.2% over four weeks, -16.0% over 12 weeks, and 91.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.4%
4W25.2%
12W-16.0%
26W42.7%
52W91.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change30.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership19.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change679.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength73/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Value70/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
51.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
18.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
54.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-4.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
26.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-3.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
547.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
29.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

8 positive · 30 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-13.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+1.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis55/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.50; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.89%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.89% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors60/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 39; Small Cap Core rank 63 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

Gran Tierra Energy (NYSE:GTE) Shares Up 12% - What's Next? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202610.52 CAD1.4%9.98 CAD8.65 CAD-0.7819.18202.0KOff
24 Jul 202610.37 CAD12.2%9.82 CAD8.64 CAD-1.0017.87116.1KOff
17 Jul 20269.24 CAD4.2%9.67 CAD8.63 CAD-1.185.84174.8KOff
10 Jul 20268.87 CAD5.6%9.53 CAD8.63 CAD-1.231.7997.3KOff
3 Jul 20268.40 CAD-4.8%9.42 CAD8.62 CAD-1.12-3.3173.9KOff
26 Jun 20268.82 CAD-13.3%9.35 CAD8.61 CAD-0.992.2515.0KOn
19 Jun 202610.17 CAD-10.9%9.27 CAD8.60 CAD-0.8417.953.8KOn
12 Jun 202611.42 CAD7.5%9.14 CAD8.57 CAD-0.5932.4818.9KOn
5 Jun 202610.62 CAD-0.6%8.97 CAD8.55 CAD-0.2625.2036.3KOn
29 May 202610.68 CAD-9.0%8.81 CAD8.53 CAD0.1025.22188.8KOn
22 May 202611.74 CAD-7.3%8.62 CAD8.51 CAD0.4839.47188.3KOn
15 May 202612.66 CAD1.1%8.41 CAD8.48 CAD0.6854.28197.0KOn
8 May 202612.52 CAD-0.3%8.17 CAD8.45 CAD0.6552.82244.4KOn
1 May 202612.56 CAD6.7%7.95 CAD8.42 CAD0.6555.60319.5KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.