JPX Equity Snapshot

8616 Weekly Equity Report

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings, Inc.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 728.0 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 2.7% latest completed week
4W Return 2.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as a securities company in Japan. It provides foreign and domestic equities; foreign, municipal, and structured bonds; derivatives; investment trust services; forex; and investment banking services, such as IPOs, public stock offerings, secondary sales, and mergers and acquisitions (M&A). The company's activities also include financial instruments business; research on economic conditions and corporate performance; creation and management of funds, and self-financed and fund investments; consulting on handling of testamentary trusts and inheritance property; asset management; education and training; provision of transfer agency, merchandising, printing, real-estate rental management, and insurance …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

8616 closed the latest completed week at 728.0 JPY. The 4-week return is 2.5% and the 12-week return is 1.1%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.91. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 53/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 3.6%
Volume 1.1x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 97 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 57 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 35 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 13 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 45 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 71 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
702.7 JPY
Vs Trend Line
3.6%
Fair Value
508.1 JPY
Vs Fair Value
43.3%
52W High
801.3 JPY
52W Low
436.4 JPY
Drawdown
-9.1%
Range Position
79.9%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 2.7%
4W 2.5%
12W 1.1%
26W 12.5%
52W 63.3%

Trend read

Active Streak
49 weeks
52W Active Weeks
49
52W Active Breadth
94.2%
Sector Scope
JP Financial Services
Sector Rank
66 of 182
Sector Percentile
64.1%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.91
4W MD Change
11.9%
Relative Strength
-10.74
4W RS Change
-54.2%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
61.68%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
5.0M
13W Average
4.7M
52W Average
4.5M
Vs 13W
1.1x
Vs 52W
1.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.3%
52W Volatility
2.7%
Upside Weeks
34
Downside Weeks
17
Downside Breadth
32.7%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.4% / -1.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Capital Markets
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
176.1B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 49-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 728.0 JPY 2.7% 702.7 JPY 508.1 JPY -0.91 -10.74 5.0M On
5 Jun 2026 709.0 JPY 2.2% 698.1 JPY 505.5 JPY -1.05 -13.91 5.2M On
29 May 2026 694.0 JPY -1.4% 693.4 JPY 502.9 JPY -1.12 -15.57 5.0M On
22 May 2026 704.0 JPY -0.8% 688.7 JPY 500.3 JPY -1.07 -10.49 4.4M On
15 May 2026 710.0 JPY 2.6% 683.8 JPY 497.7 JPY -1.03 -6.96 3.8M On
8 May 2026 692.0 JPY 0.6% 678.7 JPY 495.1 JPY -0.92 -11.19 2.4M On
1 May 2026 688.0 JPY -3.9% 674.2 JPY 492.5 JPY -0.75 -7.01 6.2M On
24 Apr 2026 716.0 JPY -5.2% 669.6 JPY 490.0 JPY -0.57 -3.56 4.6M On
17 Apr 2026 755.0 JPY 0.7% 664.7 JPY 487.3 JPY -0.36 3.80 3.0M On
10 Apr 2026 750.0 JPY 1.8% 658.0 JPY 484.5 JPY -0.33 6.02 3.6M On
3 Apr 2026 737.0 JPY 0.8% 651.2 JPY 481.7 JPY -0.17 11.82 6.5M On
27 Mar 2026 731.0 JPY 1.5% 645.0 JPY 478.9 JPY 0.15 10.69 7.8M On
20 Mar 2026 720.4 JPY 0.8% 638.7 JPY 476.2 JPY 0.67 9.29 3.3M On
13 Mar 2026 714.6 JPY -2.5% 633.0 JPY 473.5 JPY 1.20 7.68 4.9M On