Composite setup radar
53
Balanced read
Latest Close
1,364 JPY
12 Jun 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
14.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
Company Brief
What the company does
Nomura Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of investment, financing, and related services to individual, institutional, and government clients worldwide. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The Wealth Management segment offers asset management services. The Investment Management segment provides investment management services and investment solutions, such as establishing and managing investment trusts, discretionary investment services, investment and management for investment vehicles, funds for institutional investors, and management of silent partnerships. The Wholesale segment is involved in the sales and trading of debt and equity securities, foreign exchange; offers investment banking …
Snapshot
What the weekly tape is saying
8604 closed the latest completed week at 1,364 JPY. The 4-week return is 7.2% and the 12-week return is 14.2%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.18. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 53/100 composite read.
Trend Signal
Active
Market Dynamics
No fresh buy
Price vs Trend
5.7%
Volume
1.0x
Setup Cockpit
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
Trend
52
Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum
79
Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics
53
Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength
20
Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume
41
Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control
71
Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.
16-week signal tape
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
Weekly return bar
Trend Signal dot
Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
Price map
- Trend Line
- 1,291 JPY
- Vs Trend Line
- 5.7%
- Fair Value
- 873.6 JPY
- Vs Fair Value
- 56.2%
- 52W High
- 1,478 JPY
- 52W Low
- 842.4 JPY
- Drawdown
- -7.7%
- Range Position
- 82.2%
Momentum
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 2 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 43
- 52W Active Breadth
- 82.7%
- Sector Scope
- JP Financial Services
- Sector Rank
- 116 of 182
- Sector Percentile
- 36.5%
Peer Context
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
JP Financial Services
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- 23 of 100
- Avg 1W
- 2.3%
- Avg 4W
- 2.4%
- Trend Breadth
- 77.0%
- Positive MD
- 52.0%
JP Capital Markets
- Tracked Peers
- 31
- 4W Rank
- 3 of 31
- Avg 1W
- -1.1%
- Avg 4W
- -0.4%
- Trend Breadth
- 54.8%
- Positive RS
- 6.5%
Market Dynamics
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.18
- 4W MD Change
- 79.3%
- Relative Strength
- -10.02
- 4W RS Change
- 3.6%
- Expectation
- Positive
- Probability
- 56.73%
Volume
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 53.3M
- 13W Average
- 54.0M
- 52W Average
- 52.0M
- Vs 13W
- 1.0x
- Vs 52W
- 1.0x
Risk Anatomy
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 3.1%
- 52W Volatility
- 4.0%
- Upside Weeks
- 32
- Downside Weeks
- 20
- Downside Breadth
- 38.5%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 3.5% / -2.9%
Context
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- JPX
- Country
- JP
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Capital Markets
- Currency
- JPY
- Market Cap
- 3755.5B
Opportunity signals
- Trend Signal is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,364 JPY | 0.3% | 1,291 JPY | 873.6 JPY | -0.18 | -10.02 | 53.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,361 JPY | 5.9% | 1,283 JPY | 868.0 JPY | -0.49 | -11.14 | 57.9M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,285 JPY | -0.2% | 1,273 JPY | 862.1 JPY | -0.78 | -15.93 | 63.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,287 JPY | 1.1% | 1,266 JPY | 856.7 JPY | -0.85 | -12.05 | 42.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,273 JPY | 3.6% | 1,258 JPY | 851.2 JPY | -0.88 | -10.40 | 47.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,228 JPY | 0.7% | 1,249 JPY | 845.8 JPY | -0.84 | -15.44 | 36.8M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 1,220 JPY | -7.0% | 1,243 JPY | 840.7 JPY | -0.73 | -11.61 | 73.4M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 1,312 JPY | -1.6% | 1,237 JPY | 835.6 JPY | -0.75 | -5.27 | 38.7M | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 1,334 JPY | 2.2% | 1,229 JPY | 829.9 JPY | -0.71 | -1.63 | 59.6M | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 1,305 JPY | 3.5% | 1,219 JPY | 824.2 JPY | -0.82 | -1.07 | 52.9M | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 1,261 JPY | 2.4% | 1,211 JPY | 818.7 JPY | -0.83 | 2.54 | 57.8M | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 1,231 JPY | 3.0% | 1,203 JPY | 813.4 JPY | -0.76 | -0.31 | 67.0M | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 1,195 JPY | 3.2% | 1,195 JPY | 808.4 JPY | -0.38 | -3.35 | 52.9M | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 1,158 JPY | -5.3% | 1,190 JPY | 803.4 JPY | 0.08 | -7.23 | 88.0M | On |