- The trend backdrop is active with a 61-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
8388
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
The Awa Bank, Ltd. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
8,930 JPY
7.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 37.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.1%, after a 18.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
87
out of 100
Latest Close
8,930 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
7.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
18.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
32.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 18.6%.
Indicator stack
100/99
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 63.75%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 37.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.1%, after a 18.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8812-week average 0.95
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.88Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 18.6% over four weeks, 32.9% over 12 weeks, and 176.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 61 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak61 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change245.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership43.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change107.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-6.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+7.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split38/12Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Financial Services
4-week rank1 / 100
Group average4.5%
Trend breadth80.0%
Trend80.0%active weekly trend signals
MD87.0%positive activity pressure
RS74.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Banks - Regional
4-week rank3 / 79
Group average5.9%
Trend breadth83.5%
Trend83.5%active weekly trend signals
MD84.8%positive activity pressure
RS82.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape86/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 86/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis81/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.88; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 63.75%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 63.75% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
The Awa Bank, Ltd. Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2027 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 8,930 JPY | 7.1% | 6,495 JPY | 3,442 JPY | 1.66 | 43.36 | 698.8K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8,340 JPY | -3.9% | 6,349 JPY | 3,397 JPY | 1.47 | 38.12 | 1.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 8,680 JPY | 13.8% | 6,215 JPY | 3,357 JPY | 1.15 | 44.78 | 517.7K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 7,630 JPY | 1.3% | 6,067 JPY | 3,313 JPY | 0.76 | 29.76 | 429.3K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7,530 JPY | -0.1% | 5,955 JPY | 3,276 JPY | 0.48 | 20.91 | 410.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 7,540 JPY | 6.6% | 5,843 JPY | 3,240 JPY | 0.31 | 19.88 | 83.8K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7,070 JPY | 3.7% | 5,731 JPY | 3,203 JPY | 0.12 | 13.90 | 69.4K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6,820 JPY | -2.4% | 5,631 JPY | 3,169 JPY | 0.06 | 7.73 | 112.6K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6,990 JPY | 3.6% | 5,533 JPY | 3,137 JPY | 0.16 | 19.85 | 111.8K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6,750 JPY | 0.7% | 5,426 JPY | 3,104 JPY | 0.15 | 15.61 | 85.8K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 6,700 JPY | -2.5% | 5,322 JPY | 3,072 JPY | 0.06 | 15.93 | 358.9K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 6,870 JPY | 2.2% | 5,218 JPY | 3,041 JPY | 0.04 | 25.28 | 506.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 6,720 JPY | 9.1% | 5,107 JPY | 3,009 JPY | -0.05 | 27.42 | 537.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 6,160 JPY | -1.8% | 5,000 JPY | 2,978 JPY | 0.13 | 15.42 | 211.9K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.