- The trend backdrop is active with a 90-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
8600
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TOMONY Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
1,078 JPY
8.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.1%, after a 18.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
82
out of 100
Latest Close
1,078 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
8.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
18.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
22.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- 15 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 18.5%.
Indicator stack
100/89
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.28%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.1%, after a 18.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7312-week average 0.76
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1515 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 15 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 18.5% over four weeks, 22.8% over 12 weeks, and 80.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 90 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak90 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.98Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change271.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.52Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change220.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+8.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Financial Services
4-week rank2 / 100
Group average4.5%
Trend breadth80.0%
Trend80.0%active weekly trend signals
MD87.0%positive activity pressure
RS74.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Banks - Regional
4-week rank4 / 79
Group average5.9%
Trend breadth83.5%
Trend83.5%active weekly trend signals
MD84.8%positive activity pressure
RS82.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape81/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 81/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis49/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.73; 15 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.28%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.28% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
TOMONY Holdings Completes Restricted Stock Treasury Disposal for Executive Pay Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1,078 JPY | 8.1% | 903.6 JPY | 553.7 JPY | 0.98 | 11.52 | 3.1M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 997.0 JPY | -2.6% | 894.3 JPY | 549.0 JPY | 0.56 | 5.43 | 3.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,024 JPY | 12.8% | 886.8 JPY | 544.8 JPY | 0.11 | 7.98 | 3.3M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 908.0 JPY | -0.2% | 877.8 JPY | 540.6 JPY | -0.36 | -3.43 | 2.9M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 910.0 JPY | 1.7% | 872.6 JPY | 537.0 JPY | -0.57 | -9.53 | 1.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 895.0 JPY | 2.2% | 867.0 JPY | 533.3 JPY | -0.71 | -12.72 | 369.4K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 876.0 JPY | 1.7% | 861.8 JPY | 529.8 JPY | -0.88 | -14.24 | 415.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 861.0 JPY | -3.3% | 857.2 JPY | 526.3 JPY | -0.83 | -17.98 | 846.0K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 890.0 JPY | 4.5% | 851.5 JPY | 522.9 JPY | -0.72 | -8.66 | 606.8K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 852.0 JPY | -2.7% | 844.7 JPY | 519.3 JPY | -0.70 | -13.33 | 442.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 876.0 JPY | -1.4% | 839.5 JPY | 515.9 JPY | -0.63 | -10.65 | 3.7M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 888.0 JPY | 1.1% | 832.7 JPY | 512.5 JPY | -0.69 | -5.21 | 3.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 878.0 JPY | -1.2% | 825.3 JPY | 508.9 JPY | -0.81 | -3.34 | 2.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 889.0 JPY | -0.3% | 817.4 JPY | 505.5 JPY | -0.76 | -4.06 | 1.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.