Composite setup radar
24
Risk-first tape
Latest Close
3,370 JPY
12 Jun 2026
1W Return
2.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
Company Brief
What the company does
Takachiho Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale of souvenirs in Japan. It operates through Souvenir Wholesale Business, Retail Business, Bath Facility Business, Real Estate Rental Business, Outdoor Equipment Business, and Other segments. The company manufactures and sells tourist souvenirs to hotels, accommodation facilities, souvenir shops at JR stations, and highway service areas, as well as through directly managed stores; manufactures confectioneries, including chocolate sandwich cookies, filled cookies and buns, and other cookies; leases real estate space at Shopping Town Aozora; manages retail stores under the syunsui brand; and operates public baths, as …
Snapshot
What the weekly tape is saying
8225 closed the latest completed week at 3,370 JPY. The 4-week return is -0.9% and the 12-week return is -7.7%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.04. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 24/100 composite read.
Trend Signal
Inactive
Market Dynamics
No fresh buy
Price vs Trend
-5.1%
Volume
0.4x
Setup Cockpit
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
Trend
24
Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum
41
Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics
31
Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength
0
Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume
16
Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control
30
Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.
16-week signal tape
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
Weekly return bar
Trend Signal dot
Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
Price map
- Trend Line
- 3,551 JPY
- Vs Trend Line
- -5.1%
- Fair Value
- 2,901 JPY
- Vs Fair Value
- 16.2%
- 52W High
- 4,363 JPY
- 52W Low
- 3,160 JPY
- Drawdown
- -22.8%
- Range Position
- 17.4%
Momentum
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 23
- 52W Active Breadth
- 44.2%
- Sector Scope
- JP Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Rank
- 119 of 651
- Sector Percentile
- 81.8%
Peer Context
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
JP Consumer Cyclical
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- - of 100
- Avg 1W
- -0.5%
- Avg 4W
- -0.3%
- Trend Breadth
- 45.0%
- Positive MD
- 38.0%
JP Specialty Retail
- Tracked Peers
- 49
- 4W Rank
- 33 of 49
- Avg 1W
- 1.7%
- Avg 4W
- 2.6%
- Trend Breadth
- 46.9%
- Positive RS
- 10.2%
Market Dynamics
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -1.04
- 4W MD Change
- -4.7%
- Relative Strength
- -30.07
- 4W RS Change
- -7.5%
- Expectation
- Negative
- Probability
- 44.46%
Volume
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 1.2K
- 13W Average
- 3.1K
- 52W Average
- 4.9K
- Vs 13W
- 0.4x
- Vs 52W
- 0.2x
Risk Anatomy
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 5.1%
- 52W Volatility
- 3.4%
- Upside Weeks
- 23
- Downside Weeks
- 27
- Downside Breadth
- 51.9%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 2.5% / -2.5%
Context
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- JPX
- Country
- JP
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Specialty Retail
- Currency
- JPY
- Market Cap
- 2.3B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3,370 JPY | 2.9% | 3,551 JPY | 2,901 JPY | -1.04 | -30.07 | 1.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3,275 JPY | -0.2% | 3,563 JPY | 2,890 JPY | -1.10 | -33.49 | 1.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3,280 JPY | -3.2% | 3,582 JPY | 2,879 JPY | -1.03 | -34.05 | 800 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3,390 JPY | -0.3% | 3,602 JPY | 2,869 JPY | -1.01 | -29.55 | 1.3K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,400 JPY | -1.4% | 3,614 JPY | 2,857 JPY | -1.00 | -27.96 | 4.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,450 JPY | 3.0% | 3,627 JPY | 2,846 JPY | -0.99 | -29.09 | 400 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 3,350 JPY | 0.0% | 3,637 JPY | 2,836 JPY | -0.87 | -27.99 | 100 | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 3,350 JPY | -1.6% | 3,651 JPY | 2,826 JPY | -0.80 | -28.72 | 2.2K | Off |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 3,405 JPY | -4.9% | 3,663 JPY | 2,815 JPY | -0.49 | -26.49 | 900 | Off |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 3,580 JPY | 10.0% | 3,670 JPY | 2,804 JPY | -0.25 | -21.09 | 4.8K | Off |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 3,255 JPY | -13.1% | 3,673 JPY | 2,792 JPY | -0.22 | -23.40 | 21.1K | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 3,745 JPY | 2.5% | 3,688 JPY | 2,782 JPY | -0.12 | -12.69 | 1.4K | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 3,652 JPY | 1.2% | 3,687 JPY | 2,768 JPY | -0.02 | -14.97 | 700 | Off |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 3,609 JPY | -0.8% | 3,690 JPY | 2,755 JPY | 0.01 | -16.84 | 2.1K | Off |