- The trend backdrop is active with a 53-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
CXU
ASX
Week ended 18 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Cauldron Energy Limited · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
0.10 AUD
-16.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 31.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.7%, after a 17.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
62
out of 100
Latest Close
0.10 AUD
18 Sep 2026
1W Return
-16.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
17.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-16.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 17.6%.
Indicator stack
100/34
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 31.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.7%, after a 17.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6412-week average 0.79
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 17.6% over four weeks, 4.2% over 12 weeks, and 669.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 53 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak53 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-156.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership88.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change11.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 24%
Model confidence 11%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value63/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality62/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Momentum63/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Growth64/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
1 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility17.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
17 Jul
14 Aug
18 Sep
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+106.9%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-28.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-16.7%Week of 18 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains14
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses11
Recent vol17.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol24.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew21.2% / -13.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.5%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD63.0%positive activity pressure
RS61.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank16 / 100
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth36.0%
Trend36.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS41.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape60/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis74/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.64; 3 reversal markers Factors63/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 28; Small Cap Core rank 44 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
Cauldron Energy (ASX:CXU): Uranium Exposure Meets Western Australia’s Regulatory Test Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 0.10 AUD | -16.7% | 0.076 AUD | 0.031 AUD | -0.22 | 88.40 | 24.4M | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 20.0% | 0.0736 AUD | 0.0304 AUD | -0.13 | 133.17 | 14.0M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.10 AUD | -9.1% | 0.0705 AUD | 0.0297 AUD | -0.10 | 96.62 | 9.7M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 0.11 AUD | 29.4% | 0.0681 AUD | 0.0291 AUD | 0.00 | 121.85 | 20.8M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.085 AUD | -13.3% | 0.0656 AUD | 0.0284 AUD | 0.38 | 79.14 | 31.0M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.098 AUD | 10.1% | 0.064 AUD | 0.0279 AUD | 0.82 | 111.87 | 5.6M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.089 AUD | -28.8% | 0.0616 AUD | 0.0273 AUD | 1.15 | 96.67 | 7.6M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.125 AUD | -16.7% | 0.0595 AUD | 0.0268 AUD | 1.52 | 195.16 | 69.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.15 AUD | 20.0% | 0.0561 AUD | 0.026 AUD | 1.46 | 282.73 | 4.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.125 AUD | 8.7% | 0.0518 AUD | 0.0251 AUD | 1.38 | 241.50 | 3.0M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.115 AUD | 9.5% | 0.0483 AUD | 0.0244 AUD | 1.46 | 234.02 | 8.9M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.105 AUD | 9.4% | 0.0452 AUD | 0.0237 AUD | 1.14 | 222.72 | 8.3M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.096 AUD | -20.0% | 0.0424 AUD | 0.023 AUD | 0.84 | 215.41 | 18.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 106.9% | 0.0398 AUD | 0.0225 AUD | 0.52 | 314.65 | 31.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.