- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
KRMN
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Karman Holdings Inc. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
48.15 USD
1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -35.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -14.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.
Setup score
19
out of 100
Latest Close
48.15 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-14.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-20.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
63.5%
33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -14.6%.
Indicator stack
35/36
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.90%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
50/100 conviction; expected move 17.5%.
News sentiment
55/100
46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
4d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -35.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -14.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0112-week average 0.14
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -14.6% over four weeks, -20.9% over 12 weeks, and -4.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.88Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change25.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-38.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-34.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 87%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength2/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 209.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 12.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 52.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 0.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 35.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 16.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 2.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 44.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 418.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -50.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 5.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
KRMN shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.03, expected move of 17.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction50/100
Expected move17.5%
Put/call volume0.03
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.
19 positive · 21 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-59.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.4%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-20.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses11
Recent vol9.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -7.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.6%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank53 / 82
Group average-10.6%
Trend breadth23.2%
Trend23.2%active weekly trend signals
MD34.1%positive activity pressure
RS26.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape23/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.90%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.90% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors9/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 69; Small Cap Core rank 98 SVQF11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 906.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options35/100KRMN shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.03, expected move of 17.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 17.5% Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.
Sei Investments Co. Acquires 46,947 Shares of Karman Holdings Inc. $KRMN Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 48.15 USD | 1.5% | 74.23 USD | 61.03 USD | -0.88 | -38.15 | 10.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 47.44 USD | 2.8% | 75.19 USD | 61.20 USD | -0.94 | -38.58 | 19.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 46.17 USD | -7.7% | 76.19 USD | 61.38 USD | -1.07 | -40.75 | 34.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 50.01 USD | -11.3% | 77.04 USD | 61.58 USD | -1.18 | -37.13 | 10.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 56.37 USD | 21.4% | 77.65 USD | 61.74 USD | -1.18 | -28.34 | 13.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 46.42 USD | -7.8% | 77.96 USD | 61.82 USD | -1.22 | -39.68 | 14.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 50.37 USD | 5.3% | 78.64 USD | 62.03 USD | -1.10 | -36.33 | 23.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 47.83 USD | -3.3% | 78.97 USD | 62.20 USD | -1.12 | -39.10 | 14.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 49.44 USD | -14.0% | 79.38 USD | 62.41 USD | -1.05 | -36.87 | 20.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 57.50 USD | -10.3% | 80.09 USD | 62.60 USD | -1.13 | -28.56 | 20.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 64.10 USD | 2.1% | 80.98 USD | 62.68 USD | -1.27 | -19.17 | 7.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 62.77 USD | 3.2% | 81.65 USD | 62.65 USD | -1.29 | -19.97 | 17.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 60.84 USD | -7.4% | 82.06 USD | 62.65 USD | -1.33 | -22.13 | 8.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 65.73 USD | -6.4% | 82.52 USD | 62.68 USD | -1.26 | -13.69 | 7.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.