NWC TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The North West Company Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Latest close 50.85 CAD
0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 2.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 50.85 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.4% latest completed week
4W Return 2.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 55.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 2.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3912-week average 0.44

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.39Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.9% over four weeks, 2.4% over 12 weeks, and 10.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.4%
4W2.9%
12W2.4%
26W5.4%
52W10.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change75.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change35.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength81/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality79/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Momentum26/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Growth24/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework70/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
34.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
2.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
22.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

4 positive · 9 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202650.85 CAD0.4%51.59 CAD44.38 CAD-0.28-6.79496.8KOff
24 Jul 202650.66 CAD-1.9%51.52 CAD44.24 CAD-0.55-7.81357.4KOff
17 Jul 202651.65 CAD0.4%51.44 CAD44.11 CAD-0.73-5.98424.3KOff
10 Jul 202651.42 CAD4.0%51.33 CAD43.96 CAD-0.95-6.78543.6KOff
3 Jul 202649.43 CAD-0.6%51.19 CAD43.82 CAD-1.16-10.53463.3KOff
26 Jun 202649.74 CAD1.8%51.13 CAD43.68 CAD-1.09-9.65113.2KOff
19 Jun 202648.85 CAD1.0%51.09 CAD43.55 CAD-1.07-11.6182.6KOff
12 Jun 202648.38 CAD-8.9%51.04 CAD43.41 CAD-0.99-12.78227.8KOff
5 Jun 202653.09 CAD3.4%51.00 CAD43.29 CAD-0.90-3.34167.2KOn
29 May 202651.34 CAD-0.2%50.76 CAD43.15 CAD-0.88-8.01471.7KOn
22 May 202651.44 CAD1.5%50.54 CAD43.04 CAD-0.82-7.74715.8KOn
15 May 202650.68 CAD2.0%50.34 CAD42.93 CAD-0.62-8.09795.8KOn
8 May 202649.68 CAD-1.4%50.18 CAD42.82 CAD-0.48-11.14821.1KOn
1 May 202650.40 CAD-2.3%50.02 CAD42.72 CAD-0.01-10.04772.4KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.