TPX-B TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Molson Coors Canada Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

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Latest close 61.00 CAD
3.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.2%, after a 7.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 61.00 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.2% latest completed week
4W Return 7.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.0%. Indicator stack 3/71 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 52/100 16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.2%, after a 7.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.0% over four weeks, 1.6% over 12 weeks, and -6.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.2%
4W7.0%
12W1.6%
26W-4.2%
52W-6.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change163.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change40.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality70/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Momentum13/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework88/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-13.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
11.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

2 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.0%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-6.9%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week+3.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Beverages - Brewers
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average-2.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

TPX-B · TOR7.0%TPX-A · TOR-1.0%BR · TOR-13.0%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape41/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis13/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors65/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 13 SVQF88/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 37.5 of 298 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

Molson Coors Canada Inc. Class B Revenue Breakdown – DUS:65K Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202661.00 CAD3.2%61.87 CAD70.40 CAD0.43-11.865.2KOff
24 Jul 202659.08 CAD-2.6%61.97 CAD70.52 CAD0.01-15.54800Off
17 Jul 202660.65 CAD2.8%62.07 CAD70.68 CAD-0.17-13.683.3KOff
10 Jul 202658.97 CAD3.4%62.23 CAD70.83 CAD-0.53-16.743.7KOff
3 Jul 202657.01 CAD-3.5%62.40 CAD70.94 CAD-0.68-19.982.8KOff
26 Jun 202659.10 CAD1.8%62.54 CAD71.08 CAD-0.88-17.06100Off
19 Jun 202658.03 CAD-4.1%62.68 CAD71.21 CAD-0.97-19.060Off
12 Jun 202660.50 CAD10.0%62.83 CAD71.35 CAD-1.02-16.14700Off
5 Jun 202655.00 CAD-6.0%62.93 CAD71.48 CAD-1.14-23.160Off
29 May 202658.50 CAD-1.8%63.20 CAD71.64 CAD-0.97-19.844.2KOff
22 May 202659.58 CAD1.6%63.35 CAD71.76 CAD-0.90-18.382.7KOff
15 May 202658.64 CAD-2.3%63.45 CAD71.85 CAD-0.86-18.884.6KOff
8 May 202660.03 CAD0.3%63.66 CAD71.96 CAD-0.77-18.352.6KOff
1 May 202659.83 CAD-1.8%63.74 CAD72.07 CAD-0.74-18.964.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.