TPX-A TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Molson Coors Canada Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

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Latest close 62.50 CAD
-1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a -1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 37 out of 100
Latest Close 62.50 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.0% latest completed week
4W Return -1.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.0%. Indicator stack 4/41 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 29.84% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a -1.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.3x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1512-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.0% over four weeks, -4.3% over 12 weeks, and -11.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.0%
4W-1.0%
12W-4.3%
26W-9.0%
52W-11.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-104.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change12.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength80/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality71/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth21/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework85/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-4.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-13.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

1 positive · 14 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher7 of 266 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-16.6%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains5
Flat weeks13
Modest losses4
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split15/11Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Beverages - Brewers
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-2.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

TPX-B · TOR7.0%TPX-A · TOR-1.0%BR · TOR-13.0%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis20/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 29.84%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 29.84% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors64/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 6; Small Cap Core rank 14 SVQF85/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 45.0 of 298 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

Molson Coors Canada Inc. Class B Revenue Breakdown – DUS:65K Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202662.50 CAD-1.0%66.45 CAD73.20 CAD-0.02-15.95200Off
24 Jul 202663.10 CAD0.0%66.72 CAD73.34 CAD0.01-16.120Off
17 Jul 202663.10 CAD0.0%66.97 CAD73.47 CAD0.22-16.670Off
10 Jul 202663.10 CAD0.0%67.22 CAD73.61 CAD0.36-17.550Off
3 Jul 202663.10 CAD0.0%67.47 CAD73.71 CAD0.43-18.210Off
26 Jun 202663.10 CAD-8.1%67.72 CAD73.84 CAD0.18-18.37300Off
19 Jun 202668.67 CAD0.0%67.95 CAD73.97 CAD-0.23-12.000Off
12 Jun 202668.67 CAD9.0%67.99 CAD74.07 CAD-0.54-12.410Off
5 Jun 202663.00 CAD0.0%67.86 CAD74.13 CAD-0.76-18.990Off
29 May 202663.00 CAD-3.5%68.00 CAD74.23 CAD-0.71-20.48100Off
22 May 202665.31 CAD0.0%68.13 CAD74.33 CAD-0.67-17.590Off
15 May 202665.31 CAD0.0%68.19 CAD74.41 CAD-0.63-16.750Off
8 May 202665.31 CAD0.0%68.24 CAD74.49 CAD-0.67-18.260Off
1 May 202665.31 CAD0.0%68.28 CAD74.58 CAD-0.73-18.760Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.