SAO Equity Snapshot

SMTO3 Weekly Equity Report

São Martinho S.A.

Latest Close 15.80 BRL 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -6.4% latest completed week
4W Return -13.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -15.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

São Martinho S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of sugar, ethanol, and other sugarcane byproducts in Brazil. The company operates through Sugar, Ethanol, Corm Ethanol, Electric Power, Real Estate Businesses, Yeast, and Other Products segment. It offers a range of raw sugar; hydrated ethanol, which is used in tanks of cars powered by ethanol; anhydrous ethanol that is used as a gasoline additive in gasoline-powered vehicles; and industrial ethanol, which is primarily used in the production of paints, cosmetics, and alcoholic beverages. The company also generates electricity from sugarcane bagasse; …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

SMTO3 closed the latest completed week at 15.80 BRL. The 4-week return is -13.4% and the 12-week return is -15.9%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.65. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 22/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -4.0%
Volume 1.0x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 59 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 5 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 4 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 4 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 44 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 14 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
16.46 BRL
Vs Trend Line
-4.0%
Fair Value
23.22 BRL
Vs Fair Value
-31.9%
52W High
21.70 BRL
52W Low
12.91 BRL
Drawdown
-27.2%
Range Position
32.9%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -6.4%
4W -13.4%
12W -15.9%
26W 4.4%
52W -19.7%

Trend read

Active Streak
13 weeks
52W Active Weeks
13
52W Active Breadth
25.0%
Sector Scope
BR Basic Materials
Sector Rank
64 of 65
Sector Percentile
1.6%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.65
4W MD Change
-425.7%
Relative Strength
-11.08
4W RS Change
-156.6%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
45.28%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
13.5M
13W Average
12.9M
52W Average
12.3M
Vs 13W
1.0x
Vs 52W
1.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.4%
52W Volatility
5.6%
Upside Weeks
21
Downside Weeks
31
Downside Breadth
59.6%
Avg Gain / Loss
5.2% / -3.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
SAO
Country
BR
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Specialty Chemicals
Currency
BRL
Market Cap
5.6B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 13-week active streak.

Risk signals

  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 15.80 BRL -6.4% 16.46 BRL 23.22 BRL -0.65 -11.08 13.5M On
5 Jun 2026 16.88 BRL -0.6% 16.40 BRL 23.33 BRL -0.41 -4.71 9.0M On
29 May 2026 16.98 BRL -3.5% 16.28 BRL 23.44 BRL -0.25 -7.51 11.0M On
22 May 2026 17.60 BRL -3.6% 16.18 BRL 23.55 BRL -0.22 -6.35 10.6M On
15 May 2026 18.25 BRL 8.6% 16.08 BRL 23.64 BRL -0.12 -4.32 15.7M On
8 May 2026 16.80 BRL 3.9% 15.98 BRL 23.73 BRL -0.06 -15.78 14.4M On
1 May 2026 16.17 BRL -2.8% 15.94 BRL 23.82 BRL 0.30 -20.95 8.5M On
24 Apr 2026 16.64 BRL 1.5% 15.96 BRL 23.90 BRL 0.83 -20.89 13.1M On
17 Apr 2026 16.39 BRL -11.1% 16.00 BRL 23.98 BRL 1.21 -24.82 16.4M On
10 Apr 2026 18.44 BRL -9.4% 16.04 BRL 24.03 BRL 1.47 -17.01 17.5M On
3 Apr 2026 20.35 BRL -0.1% 16.01 BRL 24.08 BRL 1.55 -4.86 14.6M On
27 Mar 2026 20.37 BRL 8.5% 15.94 BRL 24.11 BRL 1.48 -1.98 11.5M On
20 Mar 2026 18.78 BRL 9.6% 15.86 BRL 24.13 BRL 1.49 -7.53 11.7M On
13 Mar 2026 17.13 BRL -9.3% 15.80 BRL 24.15 BRL 1.33 -17.14 19.3M Off