TXSA34 SAO Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ternium S.A. · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 249.2 BRL
2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 17.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 71 out of 100
Latest Close 249.2 BRL 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.8% latest completed week
4W Return 17.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 17.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8212-week average 0.77

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.82Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.8% over four weeks, 12.7% over 12 weeks, and 46.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.8%
4W17.8%
12W12.7%
26W15.4%
52W46.5%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-80.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1020.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

2 positive · 2 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.7%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains13
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses3
Recent vol5.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split35/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026249.2 BRL2.8%221.5 BRL177.8 BRL0.1313.039.2KOn
24 Jul 2026242.4 BRL5.9%220.1 BRL177.3 BRL0.0112.611.4KOn
17 Jul 2026228.9 BRL0.5%218.9 BRL176.8 BRL0.126.783.4KOn
10 Jul 2026227.7 BRL7.7%218.1 BRL176.4 BRL0.403.934.4KOn
3 Jul 2026211.5 BRL-10.8%217.2 BRL176.0 BRL0.66-1.414.3KOn
26 Jun 2026237.0 BRL-7.0%216.8 BRL175.7 BRL0.9611.190On
19 Jun 2026254.9 BRL0.9%215.1 BRL175.2 BRL1.1023.32149On
12 Jun 2026252.5 BRL1.7%212.9 BRL174.5 BRL1.1121.10342On
5 Jun 2026248.2 BRL2.0%210.6 BRL173.9 BRL0.8821.217.6KOn
29 May 2026243.5 BRL1.9%208.6 BRL173.4 BRL0.5516.2514.0KOn
22 May 2026238.9 BRL10.7%206.6 BRL172.8 BRL0.0813.0546.0KOn
15 May 2026215.8 BRL-2.4%204.8 BRL172.3 BRL-0.381.963.6KOn
8 May 2026221.1 BRL5.8%203.7 BRL171.9 BRL-0.510.7915On
1 May 2026209.0 BRL-0.9%202.5 BRL171.5 BRL-0.55-6.24202On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.