GGBR3 SAO Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Gerdau S.A. · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 21.49 BRL
3.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 17.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 75 out of 100
Latest Close 21.49 BRL 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.4% latest completed week
4W Return 17.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 17.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8112-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.81Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.4% over four weeks, 4.3% over 12 weeks, and 55.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.4%
4W17.4%
12W4.3%
26W14.8%
52W55.7%
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.30Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change509.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change864.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

4 positive · 12 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.1%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+3.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202621.49 BRL3.4%18.70 BRL16.03 BRL0.3015.90139.2KOn
24 Jul 202620.79 BRL1.0%18.56 BRL16.01 BRL-0.0015.03157.3KOn
17 Jul 202620.58 BRL6.0%18.44 BRL16.00 BRL-0.1714.32146.6KOn
10 Jul 202619.42 BRL6.1%18.33 BRL15.98 BRL-0.295.6195.6KOn
3 Jul 202618.30 BRL-0.9%18.24 BRL15.97 BRL-0.071.6560.9KOn
26 Jun 202618.46 BRL0.3%18.18 BRL15.97 BRL0.143.157.6KOn
19 Jun 202618.40 BRL-11.0%18.12 BRL15.95 BRL0.255.788.4KOn
12 Jun 202620.67 BRL3.4%18.02 BRL15.94 BRL0.5117.2619.2KOn
5 Jun 202620.00 BRL4.1%17.87 BRL15.92 BRL0.5115.2229.3KOn
29 May 202619.21 BRL-5.8%17.73 BRL15.89 BRL0.697.88105.6KOn
22 May 202620.39 BRL3.7%17.61 BRL15.87 BRL0.6513.12246.3KOn
15 May 202619.67 BRL-4.5%17.43 BRL15.84 BRL0.288.70218.1KOn
8 May 202620.60 BRL7.1%17.27 BRL15.82 BRL0.099.78348.4KOn
1 May 202619.25 BRL5.4%17.07 BRL15.78 BRL-0.280.97169.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.