MANU NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Manchester United Ltd · Communication Services · Entertainment

Latest close 23.01 USD
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 45d.

Setup score 65 out of 100
Latest Close 23.01 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return -0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 69.2% 36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 23-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, 16.9% over 12 weeks, and 31.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 23 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W-0.4%
12W16.9%
26W30.0%
52W31.0%
Active trend streak23 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-42.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership18.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-7.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality73/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Momentum77/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
16.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
59.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
22.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-2.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

MANU shows bearish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.78, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction40/100
Expected move8.8%
Put/call volume2.78
Pressure-45
Speculation2
Volatility61
Trend agreement57
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

10 positive · 44 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings45dNext report is scheduled for 16 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202623.01 USD1.5%19.20 USD17.33 USD0.6918.101.0MOn
24 Jul 202622.67 USD2.0%18.96 USD17.32 USD0.8017.831.2MOn
17 Jul 202622.23 USD0.9%18.73 USD17.32 USD0.9415.12857.9KOn
10 Jul 202622.04 USD-4.6%18.52 USD17.31 USD1.0912.49953.9KOn
3 Jul 202623.11 USD0.8%18.30 USD17.32 USD1.2119.621.3MOn
26 Jun 202622.92 USD2.5%18.05 USD17.33 USD1.3221.461.7MOn
19 Jun 202622.37 USD-3.6%17.82 USD17.33 USD1.3615.861.4MOn
12 Jun 202623.21 USD5.7%17.59 USD17.34 USD1.3121.361.5MOn
5 Jun 202621.95 USD4.5%17.33 USD17.34 USD1.2015.613.9MOn
29 May 202621.01 USD5.1%17.13 USD17.32 USD1.018.052.9MOn
22 May 202620.00 USD4.0%16.98 USD17.31 USD0.774.621.5MOn
15 May 202619.23 USD-2.3%16.92 USD17.30 USD0.431.731.4MOn
8 May 202619.69 USD6.2%16.88 USD17.30 USD0.244.571.6MOn
1 May 202618.54 USD8.6%16.75 USD17.29 USD0.040.861.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.