NKTX NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nkarta Inc · Healthcare · Biotechnology

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Latest close 2.27 USD
-12.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -11.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.7%, after a -19.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 2.27 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -12.7% latest completed week
4W Return -19.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -22.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 22-week active streak.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -12.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -19.8%. Indicator stack 82/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 51/100 conviction; expected move 30.8%. News sentiment 53/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 13d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -11.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -12.7%, after a -19.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6112-week average 0.65

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals3Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -19.8% over four weeks, -22.5% over 12 weeks, and 5.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 22 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-12.7%
4W-19.8%
12W-22.5%
26W-8.8%
52W5.1%
Active trend streak22 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.30Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1117.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.56Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-216.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 67% Model confidence 64%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value49/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Quality47/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Momentum49/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Growth49/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-41.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-22.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
1/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

NKTX shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 30.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction51/100
Expected move30.8%
Put/call volume
Pressure-89
Speculation4
Volatility96
Trend agreement13
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 1

8 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

14 positive · 33 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move30.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+59.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-22.8%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-12.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains1
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses12
Recent vol12.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.4% / -8.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape36/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis79/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.61; No reversal markers Factors47/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 55 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options39/100

NKTX shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 30.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 30.8% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

Nkarta Inc (NKTX) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders8 / 1

8 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings13d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20262.27 USD-12.7%2.56 USD3.63 USD-0.30-10.563.2MOn
17 Jul 20262.60 USD-12.5%2.54 USD3.63 USD0.060.543.1MOn
10 Jul 20262.97 USD-7.8%2.52 USD3.63 USD0.2410.255.6MOn
3 Jul 20263.22 USD13.8%2.48 USD3.62 USD0.2222.193.2MOn
26 Jun 20262.83 USD-1.0%2.43 USD3.61 USD0.039.094.2MOn
19 Jun 20262.86 USD0.0%2.40 USD3.61 USD0.225.821.9MOn
12 Jun 20262.86 USD13.9%2.37 USD3.62 USD0.458.933.3MOn
5 Jun 20262.51 USD-22.8%2.33 USD3.63 USD0.56-1.972.3MOn
29 May 20263.25 USD7.3%2.31 USD3.65 USD1.0521.191.7MOn
22 May 20263.03 USD14.8%2.28 USD3.66 USD1.1416.892.9MOn
15 May 20262.64 USD-17.2%2.26 USD3.67 USD1.333.513.5MOn
8 May 20263.19 USD8.9%2.24 USD3.68 USD1.6324.925.1MOn
1 May 20262.93 USD0.3%2.21 USD3.69 USD1.1721.394.4MOn
24 Apr 20262.92 USD-15.9%2.18 USD3.70 USD0.9122.886.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.