HKG Equity Snapshot

3968 Weekly Equity Report

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 49.40 HKD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 2.5% latest completed week
4W Return 5.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services. It operates through Wholesale Finance Business, Retail Finance Business, and Other Business segments. It offers current, demand, time, call, savings, notice, and renminbi accounts. The company also offers loan products include personal commercial real estate, consumption, housing, and car loans; loans to finance for studying abroad; micro-business loans; mortgage loans for equipment; joint guarantee, special guarantee, and housing mortgage loan; bank acceptance, discount, liquid capital, and fixed asset loans; and loans for vessels. In addition, it offers credit cards; insurance …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

3968 closed the latest completed week at 49.40 HKD. The 4-week return is 5.2% and the 12-week return is 1.1%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.77. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 54/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 0.7%
Volume 1.0x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 37 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 63 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 27 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 81 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 41 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 75 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
49.06 HKD
Vs Trend Line
0.7%
Fair Value
38.09 HKD
Vs Fair Value
29.7%
52W High
53.32 HKD
52W Low
43.80 HKD
Drawdown
-7.4%
Range Position
58.8%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 2.5%
4W 5.2%
12W 1.1%
26W -1.4%
52W 1.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
35
52W Active Breadth
67.3%
Sector Scope
HK Financial Services
Sector Rank
66 of 204
Sector Percentile
68.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.77
4W MD Change
-111.0%
Relative Strength
5.16
4W RS Change
198.8%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
52.94%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
64.7M
13W Average
66.8M
52W Average
77.8M
Vs 13W
1.0x
Vs 52W
0.8x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.2%
52W Volatility
2.6%
Upside Weeks
26
Downside Weeks
25
Downside Breadth
48.1%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.1% / -2.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
HKG
Country
HK
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Banks - Regional
Currency
HKD
Market Cap
1195.4B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 49.40 HKD 2.5% 49.06 HKD 38.09 HKD -0.77 5.16 64.7M Off
5 Jun 2026 48.18 HKD 2.3% 49.10 HKD 37.98 HKD -1.03 1.52 64.4M Off
29 May 2026 47.10 HKD 1.8% 49.17 HKD 37.87 HKD -1.04 -1.68 66.8M Off
22 May 2026 46.26 HKD -1.4% 49.18 HKD 37.77 HKD -0.81 -5.13 64.8M Off
15 May 2026 46.94 HKD -0.6% 49.26 HKD 37.67 HKD -0.36 -5.22 61.9M Off
8 May 2026 47.24 HKD 0.3% 49.30 HKD 37.57 HKD 0.11 -6.33 73.4M Off
1 May 2026 47.10 HKD -6.5% 49.23 HKD 37.48 HKD 0.16 -4.47 104.6M Off
24 Apr 2026 50.40 HKD -0.3% 49.18 HKD 37.40 HKD 0.14 1.45 47.6M On
17 Apr 2026 50.55 HKD 1.1% 48.99 HKD 37.28 HKD -0.10 1.09 71.6M On
10 Apr 2026 50.00 HKD 0.6% 48.84 HKD 37.17 HKD -0.38 1.05 40.7M On
3 Apr 2026 49.70 HKD 1.5% 48.74 HKD 37.07 HKD -0.37 3.54 66.8M On
27 Mar 2026 48.96 HKD 0.2% 48.63 HKD 36.96 HKD -0.48 2.81 64.9M On
20 Mar 2026 48.84 HKD -0.9% 48.56 HKD 36.86 HKD -0.52 1.37 76.0M On
13 Mar 2026 49.26 HKD 0.9% 48.51 HKD 36.76 HKD -0.66 1.50 83.6M On