RJF NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Raymond James Financial Inc. · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 176.0 USD
3.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 8.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 83d.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 176.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.9% latest completed week
4W Return 8.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.2%. Indicator stack 28/79 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 45/100 conviction; expected move 4.9%. News sentiment 56/100 72 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 83d Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 8.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3512-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.2% over four weeks, 14.4% over 12 weeks, and 9.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.9%
4W8.2%
12W14.4%
26W6.5%
52W9.0%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change65.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change120.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength78/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
83.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
17.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
34.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
8.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

RJF shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 4.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction45/100
Expected move4.9%
Put/call volume0.32
Pressure59
Speculation41
Volatility34
Trend agreement32
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 72 relevant articles.

23 positive · 44 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings83dNext report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.9%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+3.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.3% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis26/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.35; 7 reversal markers Factors64/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 16 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

RJF shows bullish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 4.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 4.9% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 72 relevant articles.

Raymond James Financial, Inc. $RJF Stock Holdings Lowered by California State Teachers Retirement System Insiders0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings83d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026176.0 USD3.9%156.6 USD137.6 USD1.331.445.9MOn
24 Jul 2026169.3 USD0.6%156.1 USD137.1 USD1.22-1.567.6MOff
17 Jul 2026168.4 USD0.1%156.0 USD136.7 USD1.06-2.976.8MOff
10 Jul 2026168.1 USD3.4%155.7 USD136.3 USD0.95-4.835.0MOff
3 Jul 2026162.7 USD8.9%155.6 USD135.9 USD0.80-6.916.6MOff
26 Jun 2026149.4 USD-3.8%155.5 USD135.5 USD0.63-12.9010.5MOff
19 Jun 2026155.3 USD0.9%155.7 USD135.1 USD0.41-11.927.6MOff
12 Jun 2026153.9 USD1.9%155.6 USD134.7 USD0.25-12.245.8MOff
5 Jun 2026150.9 USD5.6%155.8 USD134.4 USD0.03-13.685.9MOff
29 May 2026142.9 USD-5.3%156.1 USD134.0 USD-0.12-20.568.1MOff
22 May 2026150.9 USD-1.7%156.6 USD133.6 USD-0.16-15.307.4MOff
15 May 2026153.6 USD-0.1%157.0 USD133.2 USD-0.29-13.395.2MOff
8 May 2026153.8 USD-1.2%157.2 USD132.8 USD-0.33-13.445.3MOff
1 May 2026155.7 USD1.5%157.4 USD132.4 USD-0.54-10.677.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.