APG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Api Group Corp · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Latest close 39.68 USD
0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -5.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 39.68 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.3% latest completed week
4W Return -5.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.88% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -5.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2612-week average 0.47

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.26Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.5% over four weeks, -9.9% over 12 weeks, and 13.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.3%
4W-5.5%
12W-9.9%
26W-4.5%
52W13.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-85.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.56Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-162.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength34/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework32/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
52.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
29.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
13.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
14.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
35.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
18.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

APG shows bearish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.60, expected move of 6.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction35/100
Expected move6.1%
Put/call volume1.60
Pressure-20
Speculation8
Volatility43
Trend agreement80
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

15 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move6.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202639.68 USD0.3%42.52 USD29.45 USD-1.26-8.5618.2MOff
24 Jul 202639.57 USD-1.4%42.50 USD29.32 USD-1.18-7.9315.8MOff
17 Jul 202640.12 USD-3.0%42.50 USD29.18 USD-1.03-7.279.3MOff
10 Jul 202641.36 USD-1.5%42.46 USD29.05 USD-0.74-5.9413.9MOff
3 Jul 202641.98 USD2.0%42.40 USD28.90 USD-0.68-3.2613.8MOff
26 Jun 202641.15 USD-3.3%42.30 USD28.75 USD-0.72-3.0916.9MOff
19 Jun 202642.54 USD0.5%42.25 USD28.60 USD-0.89-2.1716.3MOff
12 Jun 202642.34 USD0.9%42.06 USD28.43 USD-1.07-1.7713.1MOff
5 Jun 202641.98 USD2.4%41.89 USD28.27 USD-1.05-1.9515.9MOn
29 May 202641.00 USD-1.5%41.70 USD28.11 USD-0.84-6.579.7MOn
22 May 202641.63 USD-3.7%41.56 USD27.95 USD-0.38-3.7310.2MOn
15 May 202643.25 USD-1.8%41.33 USD27.78 USD0.050.9811.0MOn
8 May 202644.04 USD-4.1%41.03 USD27.60 USD0.383.2616.3MOn
1 May 202645.94 USD-5.5%40.70 USD27.41 USD0.3410.5118.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.