AEP LSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AEP Plantations Plc · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Latest close 1.75 GBP
6.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.7%, after a 11.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 1.75 GBP 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.7% latest completed week
4W Return 11.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.7%, after a 11.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4412-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.6% over four weeks, 0.4% over 12 weeks, and 104.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.7%
4W11.6%
12W0.4%
26W19.5%
52W104.5%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change101.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 67%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength92/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality79/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth79/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework97/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
26.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
24.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
24.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
25.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
37.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
86.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

1 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.5%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-15.4%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+6.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20261.75 GBP6.7%1.62 GBP0.91 GBP-0.9311.842.2MOn
17 Jul 20261.64 GBP-2.4%1.61 GBP0.90 GBP-0.897.131.4MOn
10 Jul 20261.68 GBP8.4%1.60 GBP0.90 GBP-0.8811.722.1MOff
3 Jul 20261.55 GBP-1.2%1.59 GBP0.89 GBP-0.882.242.4MOff
26 Jun 20261.57 GBP2.0%1.58 GBP0.88 GBP-0.905.877.8MOff
19 Jun 20261.54 GBP-4.5%1.57 GBP0.88 GBP-0.726.014.1MOn
12 Jun 20261.61 GBP9.2%1.57 GBP0.87 GBP-0.2510.713.3MOn
5 Jun 20261.48 GBP-13.3%1.56 GBP0.87 GBP0.503.414.1MOn
29 May 20261.70 GBP-6.7%1.55 GBP0.86 GBP1.1919.828.5MOn
22 May 20261.82 GBP-15.4%1.54 GBP0.86 GBP1.3829.207.9MOn
15 May 20262.16 GBP10.9%1.52 GBP0.85 GBP1.5158.854.4MOn
8 May 20261.94 GBP11.5%1.49 GBP0.84 GBP1.4145.493.6MOn
1 May 20261.74 GBP-3.7%1.47 GBP0.83 GBP1.4330.982.4MOn
24 Apr 20261.81 GBP4.3%1.46 GBP0.83 GBP1.6037.592.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.