SEAT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vivid Seats Inc · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Latest close 7.70 USD
9.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 8.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.8%, after a 9.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 7.70 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 9.8% latest completed week
4W Return 9.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -14.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • 5 accumulation markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.87% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 8.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.8%, after a 9.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2212-week average 0.25

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

5 accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.7% over four weeks, -14.5% over 12 weeks, and -73.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W9.8%
4W9.7%
12W-14.5%
26W5.6%
52W-73.4%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-97.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-24.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change47.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 73%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength30/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Value41/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Quality40/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Momentum41/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Growth41/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-1.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
66.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-119.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-292.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-28.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-151.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
16.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
16.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

11 positive · 31 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-78.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.9%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-21.5%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+9.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses10
Recent vol12.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol14.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.6% / -9.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20267.70 USD9.8%7.16 USD65.48 USD0.02-24.94316.5KOn
24 Jul 20267.01 USD-1.1%7.14 USD66.43 USD0.18-34.77433.1KOff
17 Jul 20267.09 USD1.6%7.13 USD67.47 USD0.48-38.83310.4KOff
10 Jul 20266.98 USD-0.6%7.10 USD68.49 USD0.76-45.31361.1KOff
3 Jul 20267.02 USD10.4%7.11 USD69.48 USD0.94-47.23526.4KOn
26 Jun 20266.36 USD-15.2%7.13 USD70.41 USD1.05-54.471.1MOn
19 Jun 20267.50 USD-3.4%7.18 USD71.38 USD1.11-51.08538.3KOn
12 Jun 20267.76 USD-9.6%7.19 USD72.30 USD1.11-50.89332.4KOn
5 Jun 20268.58 USD-1.0%7.20 USD73.21 USD1.27-47.11257.5KOn
29 May 20268.67 USD8.6%7.26 USD74.17 USD1.38-51.13245.8KOff
22 May 20267.98 USD-19.9%7.39 USD75.06 USD1.35-55.45389.1KOff
15 May 20269.96 USD10.5%7.57 USD75.96 USD1.37-46.22651.3KOff
8 May 20269.01 USD32.9%7.59 USD76.88 USD1.34-53.60955.0KOff
1 May 20266.78 USD-0.3%7.67 USD78.06 USD1.16-64.68371.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.