WNC NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Wabash National Corporation · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

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Latest close 12.56 USD
-5.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.8%, after a -5.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 57/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 12.56 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.8% latest completed week
4W Return -5.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 69.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.34% based on similar historical setup states.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.3%. Indicator stack 29/69 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.34% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 57/100 conviction; expected move 12.7%. News sentiment 48/100 58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.8%, after a -5.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4912-week average 0.17

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.3% over four weeks, 69.2% over 12 weeks, and 34.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.8%
4W-5.3%
12W69.2%
26W25.2%
52W34.8%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-16.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership19.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-30.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value33/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality3/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
2.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-4.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-0.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-5.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-19.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-101.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-153.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

WNC shows volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 12.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction57/100
Expected move12.7%
Put/call volume0.01
Pressure100
Speculation11
Volatility84
Trend agreement16
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 1

8 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

13 positive · 26 neutral · 19 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move12.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.3%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-16.1%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-5.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol12.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.0% / -5.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis51/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 7/12.

Activity pressure 0.49; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.34%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.34% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17; Small Cap Core rank 24 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options41/100

WNC shows volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 12.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 12.7% Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

Wabash National (WNC) Stock Awaits Proof That Margin Repair Can Hold Insiders8 / 1

8 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202612.56 USD-5.8%10.00 USD15.30 USD1.1519.008.6MOn
24 Jul 202613.34 USD-0.7%9.87 USD15.36 USD1.1828.065.0MOn
17 Jul 202613.44 USD4.2%9.72 USD15.41 USD1.3928.7314.6MOn
10 Jul 202612.90 USD-2.7%9.56 USD15.48 USD1.4322.133.7MOn
3 Jul 202613.26 USD-5.1%9.45 USD15.54 USD1.3827.263.0MOn
26 Jun 202613.97 USD23.7%9.32 USD15.60 USD0.8136.886.5MOff
19 Jun 202611.29 USD17.0%9.13 USD15.66 USD0.108.355.7MOff
12 Jun 20269.65 USD32.3%9.02 USD15.75 USD-0.47-6.754.6MOff
5 Jun 20267.30 USD-7.4%8.95 USD15.85 USD-0.89-29.492.7MOff
29 May 20267.88 USD2.1%8.96 USD15.96 USD-0.71-26.282.6MOff
22 May 20267.72 USD12.8%8.96 USD16.06 USD-0.54-27.114.0MOff
15 May 20266.85 USD-7.8%9.00 USD16.16 USD-0.44-35.184.1MOff
8 May 20267.43 USD-2.7%9.06 USD16.27 USD-0.40-30.195.2MOff
1 May 20267.63 USD-16.1%9.10 USD16.36 USD-0.40-27.036.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.