FM TOR Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

First Quantum Minerals Ltd. · Basic Materials · Copper

Latest close 38.52 CAD
4.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a 3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 38.52 CAD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.7% latest completed week
4W Return 3.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a 3.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6212-week average 0.51

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.62Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.3% over four weeks, 19.1% over 12 weeks, and 62.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.7%
4W3.3%
12W19.1%
26W-5.6%
52W62.3%
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-83.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength17/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality21/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth69/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
20.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
159.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

7 positive · 17 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.5%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-19.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12
Modest gains0
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.0% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202638.52 CAD4.7%37.42 CAD24.15 CAD0.073.9014.0MOn
17 Jul 202636.79 CAD-6.3%37.35 CAD24.14 CAD0.23-0.0612.7MOn
10 Jul 202639.26 CAD-1.4%37.29 CAD24.13 CAD0.436.8913.0MOn
3 Jul 202639.80 CAD6.7%37.09 CAD24.10 CAD0.539.0511.9MOn
26 Jun 202637.30 CAD-13.3%36.88 CAD24.05 CAD0.443.3718.7MOn
19 Jun 202643.01 CAD-0.9%36.70 CAD24.01 CAD0.5119.613.4MOn
12 Jun 202643.39 CAD8.4%36.22 CAD23.94 CAD0.2721.732.2MOn
5 Jun 202640.02 CAD-5.7%35.76 CAD23.87 CAD0.0914.963.3MOn
29 May 202642.44 CAD15.5%35.41 CAD23.80 CAD0.0321.4719.8MOn
22 May 202636.73 CAD5.4%34.97 CAD23.72 CAD-0.336.9412.2MOn
15 May 202634.84 CAD-0.5%34.75 CAD23.68 CAD-0.403.9022.9MOn
8 May 202635.00 CAD8.2%34.63 CAD23.66 CAD-0.524.1919.6MOn
1 May 202632.34 CAD-9.8%34.52 CAD23.64 CAD-0.53-2.7018.9MOn
24 Apr 202635.85 CAD-9.7%34.52 CAD23.66 CAD-0.658.2513.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.