Charts
ASX
HGH
Weekly report
ASX Equity Snapshot
HGH Weekly Report
Heartland Group Holdings Limited
Summary
Chart & Trend
Indicators
Value & Factors
Options & Sentiment
Events & Insiders
Sector Context
Evidence Trail
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating
Neutral
A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital,
options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.
? Evidence rating
Evidence Score
58
Neutral
Executive Read
Top-level conclusion
The strongest supporting evidence is factors: O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 11/12.
The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important.
Support
Primary driver
Factors
90/100
O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Restraint
Main constraint
Indicator analysis
38/100
Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Company Brief
What the company does
Heartland Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in New Zealand and Australia. It operates through Motor, Reverse Mortgages, Personal Lending, Business, Rural, Australian Banking Group, and Other segments. The company offers motor vehicle finance; reverse mortgage lending; and transactional, home loans, and personal loans to individuals. It also provides term debt, plant and equipment finance, commercial mortgage lending and working capital solutions for small-to-medium sized business; and specialist financial services, including livestock finance, rural mortgage lending, seasonal and working capital financing, and leasing solutions to farmers. Heartland Group Holdings Limited …
Snapshot
What the weekly tape is saying
HGH closed the latest completed week at 1.03 AUD. The 4-week return is 0.5% and the 12-week return is 9.6%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at 0.39. Setup signature: Early recovery watch with a 62/100 composite read.
? Weekly tape
Latest close
1.03 AUD
Latest week
4.0%
Four-week move
0.5%
Composite read
62/100
Trend backdrop
Inactive
Activity pressure
No fresh buy
Price vs Trend
4.2%
Volume
2.0x
Setup Cockpit
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, activity pressure, relative leadership, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
? Cockpit
Composite setup radar
Scoreboard
Trend
33
Persistence of the active trend backdrop over the last year and current streak.
Momentum
60
Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Activity Pressure
73
Latest activity pressure and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Leadership
80
Relative leadership and short-term leadership change.
Next-Week Expectancy
50
Historical one-week follow-through read for the latest completed-week setup state.
Volume
84
Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Smart Money
42
Activity pressure and recent smart-money signal balance.
Risk Control
71
Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.
16-week signal tape
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
Price Action
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
? Price context
52-week price path
Price zone
Close
Trend
Fair
0.69 AUD
87.2%
1.08 AUD
Range location
87.2%
Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance
4.2%
Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap
7.4%
Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap
-4.6%
Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Latest close
1.03 AUD
Trend breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
1W
4.0%
4W
0.5%
12W
9.6%
26W
2.3%
52W
45.3%
Trend read
Active Streak 0 weeks
52W Active Weeks 31
52W Active Breadth 59.6%
Sector Scope AU Financial Services
Sector Rank 17 of 160
Sector Percentile 89.9%
17 of 160
Peer Context
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
AU Financial Services
Tracked Peers 100
4W Rank 69 of 100
Avg 1W 0.1%
Avg 4W 2.0%
Trend Breadth 33.0%
Positive MD 67.0%
Trend
33.0%
active weekly trend signals
MD
67.0%
positive activity pressure
RS
59.0%
positive relative leadership
HGH in group
0.5%
4-week rank 69 of 100
AU Banks - Regional
Tracked Peers 7
4W Rank 4 of 7
Avg 1W 1.3%
Avg 4W -4.0%
Trend Breadth 14.3%
Positive RS 42.9%
Trend
14.3%
active weekly trend signals
MD
57.1%
positive activity pressure
RS
42.9%
positive relative leadership
HGH in group
0.5%
4-week rank 4 of 7
Activity Pressure
Pressure, relative leadership, and next-week expectancy
Activity pressure and relative leadership show whether buying pressure and group strength are confirming the price move.
? Key terms
Dynamics path
Pressure map
Pressure
0.39
Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change
203.6%
Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership
10.19
Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change
-13.2%
Four-week change in relative leadership.
Next-week expectancy
Undecided
48.66% historical one-week setup read.
Indicator Analysis
Smart money, activity pressure, trend signals, and next-week expectancy
Recent confirmation shows whether the latest setup is supported by activity pressure, trend quality, relative leadership, and the short-term historical expectancy read.
? Indicators
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.47
12W avg 0.38
Next-week expectancy over time
Current Undecided 48.66%
12-week confirmation
Trend active
0/12
Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure
2/12
Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership
11/12
Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure
0.47
Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals
0
Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers
0
No reversal markers
Smart money activity
Support markers 0
Risk markers 0
Pressure positive weeks 1
Score input 50/100
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
Volume
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
Volume and return confirmation
Participation read
Participation
2.0x
Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline
29.8K
13-week average volume.
One-year base
62.7K
52-week average volume.
Latest
59.6K
Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Return shape
Strong gains
7
Modest gains
4
Flat weeks
0
Modest losses
11
Sharp losses
4
Recent vol
4.6%
13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol
3.3%
52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split
29/22
Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew
3.1% / -2.3%
Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence
Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context
These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.
? Evidence trail
Options and sentiment
Sentiment 53/100
Articles 19 relevant
Earnings, insiders, and research flow
Earnings -
Insiders -
News 0 articles
Market Watch 0 posts
Evidence Matrix
Scorecard by research pillar
? Scorecard
Latest Sharemaestro research
No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.
Latest Market Watch posts
No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
Exchange ASX
Country AU
Sector Financial Services
Industry Banks - Regional
Currency AUD
Market Cap 968.4M
Opportunity signals
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
Risk signals
The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
Watch next
Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
Week
Close
Return
Trend
Fair Value
Pressure
Leadership
Volume
Signal
17 Jul 2026
1.03 AUD
4.0%
0.99 AUD
0.96 AUD
0.39
10.19
59.6K
Off
10 Jul 2026
0.99 AUD
-1.0%
0.99 AUD
0.96 AUD
0.21
6.49
56.3K
Off
3 Jul 2026
1.00 AUD
1.5%
0.98 AUD
0.96 AUD
-0.05
7.70
4.1K
Off
26 Jun 2026
0.98 AUD
-3.9%
0.98 AUD
0.97 AUD
-0.11
7.54
2.2K
Off
19 Jun 2026
1.02 AUD
4.6%
0.98 AUD
0.97 AUD
-0.38
11.73
6.5K
Off
12 Jun 2026
0.98 AUD
-5.1%
0.98 AUD
0.97 AUD
-0.68
7.74
37
Off
5 Jun 2026
1.03 AUD
9.8%
0.97 AUD
0.97 AUD
-0.92
16.47
27.1K
Off
29 May 2026
0.94 AUD
6.2%
0.97 AUD
0.97 AUD
-1.30
5.50
2
Off
22 May 2026
0.89 AUD
4.1%
0.97 AUD
0.97 AUD
-1.32
0.69
88.2K
Off
15 May 2026
0.85 AUD
-6.1%
0.97 AUD
0.98 AUD
-1.43
-2.77
49.1K
Off
8 May 2026
0.91 AUD
-1.6%
0.97 AUD
0.98 AUD
-1.38
2.50
17.7K
Off
1 May 2026
0.92 AUD
-2.1%
0.97 AUD
0.98 AUD
-1.34
4.80
69.9K
Off
24 Apr 2026
0.94 AUD
-1.6%
0.97 AUD
0.98 AUD
-1.39
6.75
7.0K
Off
17 Apr 2026
0.95 AUD
-1.5%
0.97 AUD
0.98 AUD
-1.28
6.88
54.1K
Off
×
Evidence rating
The evidence rating is the top-level Sharemaestro read. It blends market structure, trend evidence, activity pressure, value and quality context, options pressure, news tone, events, and research flow into a single directional summary.
Positive means the evidence stack is supportive. Neutral means the evidence is mixed or still forming. Caution or negative means the balance of evidence is less supportive and risk control matters more.
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Weekly tape
The weekly tape is a completed-week view. It focuses on whether price, trend, activity, relative leadership, volume, and risk are confirming each other rather than reacting to a single noisy session.
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Evidence scorecard
The scorecard separates the report into research pillars. A high score is supportive, a low score is restrictive, and neutral means that pillar is either balanced or not yet carrying enough evidence.
The purpose is not to force a trade call. It shows which parts of the evidence stack are helping, which parts are restraining, and where to drill down.
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Setup cockpit
The cockpit compresses the broad setup into a radar and scoreboard. It is designed to show whether the current move has breadth across trend, activity, leadership, participation, and risk control.
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Price context
Price context asks whether the stock is moving with or against its weekly structure. The Trend Line is the directional backdrop, Fair Value is the current valuation reference point, and the range map shows where price sits inside its recent trading range.
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Pressure and next-week expectancy
Activity pressure looks for evidence that participation is supporting the move. Relative leadership compares the stock against its market backdrop. Next-week expectancy is a historical one-week follow-through read for similar setup states; it is not a broad trend call.
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Indicator analysis
This section looks at whether the latest move is supported by the internal Sharemaestro indicator stack. The emphasis is on confirmation, persistence, and risk markers, not a single isolated reading.
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Options pressure
Options pressure shows whether the options market is leaning bullish, bearish, mixed, or volatility-focused. It is supporting evidence only: options can confirm a setup, reveal disagreement, or highlight event risk.
Options involve substantial risk and can lose value rapidly. This report is educational market research, not investment or trading advice.