GFL NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc · Industrials · Waste Management

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Latest close 41.32 USD
4.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 10.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 41.32 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.1% latest completed week
4W Return 10.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.3%. Indicator stack 6/84 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 54/100 conviction; expected move 8.1%. News sentiment 54/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 44.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.1%, after a 10.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1112-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.3% over four weeks, 12.5% over 12 weeks, and -16.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.1%
4W10.3%
12W12.5%
26W-3.8%
52W-16.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.76Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change251.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change47.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality66/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework11/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
68.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
20.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
37.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-92.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
1.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

GFL shows bearish options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.82, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction54/100
Expected move8.1%
Put/call volume6.82
Pressure-74
Speculation8
Volatility54
Trend agreement63
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

18 positive · 32 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move8.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.4%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-9.6%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+4.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape38/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis16/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 10; Small Cap Core rank 43 SVQF11/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 898.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

GFL shows bearish options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.82, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 8.1% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

GFL Environmental (TSX:GFL) Stock Can Revenue Growth Outrun Recurring Losses Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202641.32 USD4.1%40.08 USD40.47 USD0.76-11.3218.0MOff
24 Jul 202639.68 USD0.3%40.13 USD40.41 USD0.44-14.588.0MOff
17 Jul 202639.56 USD-0.4%40.25 USD40.38 USD0.30-15.9213.5MOff
10 Jul 202639.73 USD6.1%40.36 USD40.36 USD-0.15-17.4423.2MOff
3 Jul 202637.46 USD0.4%40.51 USD40.35 USD-0.50-21.6611.3MOff
26 Jun 202637.30 USD6.3%40.75 USD40.35 USD-0.74-20.9730.5MOff
19 Jun 202635.08 USD-2.4%41.02 USD40.36 USD-1.12-28.096.3MOff
12 Jun 202635.95 USD1.3%41.35 USD40.37 USD-1.14-26.4215.4MOff
5 Jun 202635.51 USD5.9%41.63 USD40.38 USD-1.23-27.6914.4MOff
29 May 202633.54 USD-6.1%41.88 USD40.39 USD-1.23-34.088.6MOff
22 May 202635.72 USD-3.7%42.22 USD40.41 USD-1.12-29.638.0MOff
15 May 202637.09 USD1.0%42.54 USD40.42 USD-0.87-27.079.2MOff
8 May 202636.74 USD-4.6%42.81 USD40.42 USD-0.60-28.2814.0MOff
1 May 202638.50 USD-4.7%43.12 USD40.42 USD-0.21-23.9014.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.