HKG Equity Snapshot
0486 Weekly Equity Report
United Company RUSAL, International Public Joint-Stock Company
What the company does
United Company RUSAL, International Public Joint-Stock Company engages in production and sale of aluminium and related products in Russia. It operates through four segments: Aluminium, Alumina, Energy, and Mining and Metals. The company engages in mining and refining of bauxite, as well as nepheline ore and sale of alumina; mining and sale of coal, and generation and transmission of electricity from various source; fabrication of aluminium and aluminium alloys into semi-fabricated and finished products; and provides equity investment in Norilsk Nickel and HWNM. It also offers billets, rolling slabs, foundry alloys, wire rods, high-purity aluminium …
What the weekly tape is saying
0486 closed the latest completed week at 3.63 HKD. The 4-week return is -9.7% and the 12-week return is -10.6%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.28. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 16/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 4.66 HKD
- Vs Trend Line
- -22.1%
- Fair Value
- 3.48 HKD
- Vs Fair Value
- 4.3%
- 52W High
- 7.00 HKD
- 52W Low
- 3.39 HKD
- Drawdown
- -48.1%
- Range Position
- 6.6%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 27
- 52W Active Breadth
- 51.9%
- Sector Scope
- HK Basic Materials
- Sector Rank
- 129 of 164
- Sector Percentile
- 21.5%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
HK Basic Materials
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- 63 of 100
- Avg 1W
- -0.6%
- Avg 4W
- -5.4%
- Trend Breadth
- 19.0%
- Positive MD
- 13.0%
HK Aluminum
- Tracked Peers
- 7
- 4W Rank
- 6 of 7
- Avg 1W
- -3.9%
- Avg 4W
- -7.0%
- Trend Breadth
- 14.3%
- Positive RS
- 14.3%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -1.28
- 4W MD Change
- -9.7%
- Relative Strength
- -15.06
- 4W RS Change
- -36.2%
- Expectation
- Negative
- Probability
- 41.88%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 2.7M
- 13W Average
- 4.7M
- 52W Average
- 5.6M
- Vs 13W
- 0.6x
- Vs 52W
- 0.5x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 7.9%
- 52W Volatility
- 6.0%
- Upside Weeks
- 26
- Downside Weeks
- 26
- Downside Breadth
- 50.0%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 4.0% / -3.9%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- HKG
- Country
- HK
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Aluminum
- Currency
- HKD
- Market Cap
- 53.2B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.63 HKD | -5.5% | 4.66 HKD | 3.48 HKD | -1.28 | -15.06 | 2.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.84 HKD | 5.8% | 4.68 HKD | 3.48 HKD | -1.24 | -11.17 | 3.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.63 HKD | -8.8% | 4.70 HKD | 3.48 HKD | -1.23 | -16.86 | 3.5M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.98 HKD | -1.0% | 4.73 HKD | 3.47 HKD | -1.20 | -10.60 | 1.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.02 HKD | -2.2% | 4.74 HKD | 3.47 HKD | -1.17 | -11.06 | 3.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.11 HKD | -3.5% | 4.74 HKD | 3.46 HKD | -1.16 | -10.78 | 3.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 4.26 HKD | -0.2% | 4.75 HKD | 3.46 HKD | -1.18 | -5.59 | 1.9M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 4.27 HKD | -1.8% | 4.75 HKD | 3.45 HKD | -1.20 | -6.38 | 4.5M | Off |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 4.35 HKD | 0.2% | 4.74 HKD | 3.45 HKD | -1.26 | -5.54 | 2.6M | Off |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 4.34 HKD | 3.1% | 4.73 HKD | 3.44 HKD | -1.15 | -4.94 | 2.4M | Off |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 4.21 HKD | 2.7% | 4.73 HKD | 3.44 HKD | -0.68 | -5.11 | 4.5M | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 4.10 HKD | 1.0% | 4.73 HKD | 3.44 HKD | -0.36 | -7.13 | 4.7M | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 4.06 HKD | -27.4% | 4.73 HKD | 3.44 HKD | 0.09 | -9.33 | 21.4M | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 5.59 HKD | 8.1% | 4.74 HKD | 3.44 HKD | 0.48 | 23.28 | 15.4M | On |