TCPC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 3.25 USD
2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a -3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 27/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 3.25 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.8% latest completed week
4W Return -3.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -18.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.3%. Indicator stack 0/18 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 27/100 conviction; expected move 27.3%. News sentiment 48/100 66 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a -3.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0012-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.3% over four weeks, -18.6% over 12 weeks, and -45.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.8%
4W-3.3%
12W-18.6%
26W-31.0%
52W-45.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-291.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-34.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change11.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value69/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Quality21/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Momentum6/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
10.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-76.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
33.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
591.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-37.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-53.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
27.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
29.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-8.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

TCPC shows mixed options pressure with a 27/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.85, expected move of 27.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction27/100
Expected move27.3%
Put/call volume0.85
Pressure11
Speculation1
Volatility96
Trend agreement50
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

7 positive · 47 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move27.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.8%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-11.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses11
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape16/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 16/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis33/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.00; No reversal markers Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 23; Small Cap Core rank 19 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options44/100

TCPC shows mixed options pressure with a 27/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.85, expected move of 27.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 27.3% Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

Class action filed against BlackRock TCP Capital over alleged NAV overstatement and portfolio valuation issues. Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20263.25 USD2.8%3.84 USD6.09 USD-0.50-34.322.9MOff
24 Jul 20263.16 USD-4.5%3.90 USD6.12 USD-0.33-36.812.3MOff
17 Jul 20263.31 USD1.5%3.96 USD6.14 USD-0.06-35.963.9MOff
10 Jul 20263.26 USD-3.0%4.01 USD6.17 USD0.12-40.593.0MOff
3 Jul 20263.36 USD3.7%4.08 USD6.19 USD0.26-38.823.8MOff
26 Jun 20263.24 USD-5.0%4.14 USD6.21 USD0.30-41.535.0MOff
19 Jun 20263.41 USD-5.6%4.21 USD6.24 USD0.31-42.236.1MOff
12 Jun 20263.61 USD3.0%4.26 USD6.26 USD0.25-38.262.8MOff
5 Jun 20263.51 USD-4.4%4.31 USD6.28 USD0.27-39.653.8MOff
29 May 20263.67 USD3.2%4.36 USD6.30 USD0.28-40.673.0MOff
22 May 20263.56 USD-10.1%4.40 USD6.31 USD0.25-41.815.0MOff
15 May 20263.96 USD-1.0%4.45 USD6.33 USD0.10-35.532.6MOff
8 May 20263.99 USD-4.6%4.48 USD6.35 USD-0.01-36.023.7MOff
1 May 20264.19 USD6.0%4.51 USD6.36 USD-0.28-30.242.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.