LII NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Lennox International Inc · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

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Latest close 415.9 USD
-23.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -23.1%, after a -27.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 36/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 415.9 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -23.1% latest completed week
4W Return -27.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -20.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -23.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -27.0%. Indicator stack 7/56 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 36/100 conviction; expected move 7.6%. News sentiment 48/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -18.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -23.1%, after a -27.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3712-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -27.0% over four weeks, -20.0% over 12 weeks, and -30.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-23.1%
4W-27.0%
12W-20.0%
26W-15.8%
52W-30.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-49.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-26.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1615.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength10/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality73/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth22/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework51/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
33.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
19.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
26.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-2.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-12.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

LII shows bullish options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.35, expected move of 7.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction36/100
Expected move7.6%
Put/call volume0.35
Pressure48
Speculation25
Volatility59
Trend agreement18
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 3

9 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

11 positive · 29 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move7.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.1%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-23.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-23.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis36/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.37; No reversal markers Factors27/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 22; Small Cap Core rank 88 SVQF51/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 499.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

LII shows bullish options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.35, expected move of 7.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.6% Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Lennox International (LII) Is Down 19.3% After Cutting 2026 EPS Guidance Amid Mixed Demand Trends – Has The Bull Case Changed? Insiders9 / 3

9 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026415.9 USD-23.1%512.6 USD515.1 USD0.53-26.125.2MOff
24 Jul 2026541.1 USD-0.5%515.3 USD514.8 USD0.96-3.841.5MOn
17 Jul 2026543.9 USD-1.5%513.8 USD513.6 USD1.18-4.662.1MOn
10 Jul 2026552.0 USD-3.2%512.1 USD512.1 USD1.20-5.311.8MOn
3 Jul 2026570.0 USD1.3%510.5 USD510.7 USD1.03-1.522.2MOn
26 Jun 2026562.5 USD5.9%508.4 USD509.1 USD0.64-1.212.6MOff
19 Jun 2026531.2 USD4.0%506.2 USD507.5 USD0.21-9.281.4MOff
12 Jun 2026510.9 USD0.7%503.9 USD506.0 USD-0.13-12.381.5MOff
5 Jun 2026507.2 USD1.2%502.5 USD504.7 USD-0.31-12.981.8MOff
29 May 2026501.0 USD3.6%501.9 USD503.3 USD-0.28-16.682.0MOff
22 May 2026483.5 USD-3.1%502.0 USD502.0 USD-0.12-19.002.1MOff
15 May 2026498.8 USD-4.1%502.3 USD500.6 USD-0.13-16.371.8MOff
8 May 2026520.0 USD-1.0%503.0 USD499.2 USD-0.07-13.342.0MOff
1 May 2026525.1 USD6.9%503.1 USD497.7 USD-0.17-11.103.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.