DCO GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Deere & Company · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 518.2 EUR
-4.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.5%, after a -4.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 518.2 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.5% latest completed week
4W Return -4.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.0%. Indicator stack 72/97 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 52/100 21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.5%, after a -4.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5912-week average 0.59

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.0% over four weeks, 5.5% over 12 weeks, and 18.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.5%
4W-4.0%
12W5.5%
26W18.1%
52W18.5%
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change504.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership7.43Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-40.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth3/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework18/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
34.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
17.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-11.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-28.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-27.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

3 positive · 18 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.1%Week of 22 May.
Latest week-4.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape67/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis65/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.59; 2 reversal markers Factors29/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 33 SVQF18/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 303.5 of 372 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.

Cathie Wood’s ARK sells Deere & Co stock, buys SpaceX By Investing.com Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026518.2 EUR-4.5%497.4 EUR402.4 EUR0.387.43647On
24 Jul 2026542.4 EUR3.1%493.4 EUR401.5 EUR0.3715.01321On
17 Jul 2026526.0 EUR1.0%488.4 EUR400.4 EUR0.3013.17330On
10 Jul 2026520.6 EUR-3.5%484.2 EUR399.4 EUR0.1711.38799On
3 Jul 2026539.6 EUR-1.2%480.6 EUR398.3 EUR-0.0912.58407On
26 Jun 2026546.3 EUR7.5%476.4 EUR397.1 EUR-0.3419.4391On
19 Jun 2026508.3 EUR2.4%471.7 EUR395.9 EUR-0.6410.179On
12 Jun 2026496.2 EUR-2.7%468.7 EUR395.0 EUR-0.799.21162On
5 Jun 2026510.1 EUR9.7%465.8 EUR394.1 EUR-0.8511.87259On
29 May 2026464.8 EUR3.1%462.1 EUR393.0 EUR-0.840.76922On
22 May 2026450.9 EUR-6.1%459.8 EUR392.1 EUR-0.73-1.37917On
15 May 2026480.4 EUR-2.2%458.2 EUR391.2 EUR-0.599.12614On
8 May 2026491.1 EUR-2.2%455.2 EUR390.2 EUR-0.389.82508On
1 May 2026502.3 EUR2.3%451.5 EUR389.2 EUR-0.1212.75292On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.