SPCE NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 2.55 USD
2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -5.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 58/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 2.55 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.4% latest completed week
4W Return -5.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -13.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.6%. Indicator stack 18/26 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 38.71% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 58/100 conviction; expected move 9.6%. News sentiment 52/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -5.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3112-week average 0.25

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.31Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.6% over four weeks, -13.3% over 12 weeks, and -30.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.4%
4W-5.6%
12W-13.3%
26W-10.5%
52W-30.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-192.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-26.85Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-5.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality2/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth10/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
244.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-4.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-7362.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-18910.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1978.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-39.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-76.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-46.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-46.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

SPCE shows volatility options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.07, expected move of 9.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction58/100
Expected move9.6%
Put/call volume0.07
Pressure93
Speculation42
Volatility94
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 7

11 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

11 positive · 38 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-71.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility27.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+90.7%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-29.1%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses10
Recent vol27.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol16.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew12.6% / -6.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape18/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis43/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.31; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.71%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.71% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors10/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 96; Small Cap Core rank 81 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options37/100

SPCE shows volatility options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.07, expected move of 9.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.6% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

Vanguard Capital Management (NYSE: SPCE) discloses 5.13M-share Virgin Galactic stake Insiders11 / 7

11 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.55 USD2.4%2.95 USD13.17 USD-0.50-26.8539.1MOff
24 Jul 20262.49 USD-2.7%2.97 USD13.64 USD-0.38-28.5532.0MOff
17 Jul 20262.56 USD-0.4%3.00 USD14.12 USD-0.16-27.9169.4MOff
10 Jul 20262.57 USD-4.8%3.03 USD14.60 USD0.13-29.5452.7MOff
3 Jul 20262.70 USD-8.5%3.05 USD15.07 USD0.54-25.4667.2MOn
26 Jun 20262.95 USD-17.1%3.10 USD15.52 USD0.95-17.09113.8MOn
19 Jun 20263.56 USD-9.0%3.13 USD16.00 USD1.31-2.58134.0MOn
12 Jun 20263.91 USD-10.7%3.13 USD16.53 USD1.507.86390.3MOn
5 Jun 20264.38 USD-29.1%3.12 USD17.11 USD1.4321.60581.1MOff
29 May 20266.18 USD90.7%3.09 USD17.60 USD1.2767.62297.6MOff
22 May 20263.24 USD15.3%3.02 USD18.05 USD0.97-9.9079.6MOff
15 May 20262.81 USD-4.4%3.04 USD18.47 USD0.75-21.8453.3MOff
8 May 20262.94 USD10.9%3.09 USD19.01 USD0.70-19.4535.1MOff
1 May 20262.65 USD2.7%3.12 USD19.50 USD0.73-26.1234.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.