- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.25% based on similar historical setup states.
NWN
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Northwest Natural Gas Co · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas
Latest close
48.92 USD
-4.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 62.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.
Setup score
49
out of 100
Latest Close
48.92 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-4.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
84.6%
44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.6%.
Indicator stack
47/34
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.25%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
34/100 conviction; expected move 6.0%.
News sentiment
56/100
54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
2d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 62.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.4%, after a -0.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3212-week average 0.57
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.6% over four weeks, -3.0% over 12 weeks, and 26.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.81Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-15.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-33.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework38/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 17.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 14.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 42.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 21.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 53.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 19.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 2.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -2.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 5.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
NWN shows bullish options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 6.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction34/100
Expected move6.0%
Put/call volume0.25
Insider activity6 / 3
6 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.
18 positive · 32 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.8%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-4.6%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-4.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Utilities
4-week rank36 / 100
Group average-3.1%
Trend breadth47.0%
Trend47.0%active weekly trend signals
MD38.0%positive activity pressure
RS14.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Utilities - Regulated Gas
4-week rank11 / 16
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth31.3%
Trend31.2%active weekly trend signals
MD37.5%positive activity pressure
RS6.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis36/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.32; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.25%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.25% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 79; Small Cap Core rank 32 SVQF38/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 626.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options38/100NWN shows bullish options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 6.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.0% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.
Northwest Natural Holding Co's Dividend Analysis Insiders6 / 36 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 48.92 USD | -4.4% | 50.12 USD | 39.94 USD | -0.81 | -5.20 | 1.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 51.16 USD | 0.9% | 50.02 USD | 39.86 USD | -0.79 | 0.31 | 919.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 50.69 USD | 1.6% | 49.85 USD | 39.78 USD | -0.70 | -1.01 | 1.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 49.90 USD | 1.3% | 49.68 USD | 39.70 USD | -0.71 | -3.95 | 1.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 49.23 USD | -2.2% | 49.54 USD | 39.62 USD | -0.70 | -3.89 | 1.1M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 50.32 USD | 2.7% | 49.41 USD | 39.54 USD | -0.74 | 0.42 | 2.3M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 49.02 USD | -1.7% | 49.35 USD | 39.45 USD | -0.96 | -4.33 | 1.6M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 49.86 USD | 0.2% | 49.29 USD | 39.37 USD | -1.03 | -1.76 | 1.2M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 49.78 USD | 2.7% | 49.20 USD | 39.29 USD | -1.06 | -1.29 | 1.2M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 48.49 USD | -2.9% | 49.07 USD | 39.21 USD | -0.88 | -6.16 | 1.4M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 49.93 USD | 3.1% | 48.94 USD | 39.14 USD | -0.51 | -2.06 | 1.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 48.42 USD | -4.0% | 48.82 USD | 39.07 USD | -0.15 | -4.23 | 1.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 50.44 USD | -4.6% | 48.69 USD | 39.01 USD | 0.27 | -0.06 | 1.6M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 52.86 USD | -0.0% | 48.45 USD | 38.94 USD | 0.63 | 7.04 | 850.8K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.