GCMG NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

GCM Grosvenor Inc · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 12.48 USD
2.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.3%, after a -3.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 12.48 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.3% latest completed week
4W Return -3.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 9.6% 5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.3%. Indicator stack 23/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.98% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 34/100 conviction; expected move 16.1%. News sentiment 51/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.3%, after a -3.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6212-week average 0.27

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.62Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.3% over four weeks, 11.1% over 12 weeks, and 11.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.3%
4W-3.3%
12W11.1%
26W12.6%
52W11.4%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-7.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change492.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum30/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
19.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
99.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
34.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
38.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
63.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
195.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
24.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

GCMG shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 16.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction34/100
Expected move16.1%
Put/call volume
Pressure11
Speculation0
Volatility87
Trend agreement80
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

16 positive · 41 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move16.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.7%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-12.6%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+2.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape52/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis46/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.62; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.98%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.98% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors79/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 63; Buyback Yield rank 80; Small Cap Core rank 31 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options54/100

GCMG shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 16.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 16.1% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

GCM Grosvenor Inc (GCMG) Financial Health: Profitability & Balance Sheet Analysis Insiders16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202612.48 USD2.3%11.15 USD10.31 USD1.230.821.8MOn
24 Jul 202612.20 USD-5.4%11.10 USD10.28 USD1.41-1.133.5MOn
17 Jul 202612.90 USD-5.7%11.07 USD10.24 USD1.562.553.9MOn
10 Jul 202613.68 USD6.0%11.01 USD10.20 USD1.454.041.7MOn
3 Jul 202612.91 USD4.6%10.94 USD10.16 USD1.32-0.211.9MOn
26 Jun 202612.34 USD2.4%10.86 USD10.12 USD1.04-4.003.7MOff
19 Jun 202612.05 USD6.2%10.80 USD10.08 USD0.58-10.712.3MOff
12 Jun 202611.35 USD6.0%10.74 USD10.05 USD0.16-14.072.6MOff
5 Jun 202610.71 USD1.9%10.73 USD10.01 USD-0.02-17.582.5MOff
29 May 202610.51 USD0.7%10.76 USD9.98 USD-0.01-23.341.1MOff
22 May 202610.44 USD-0.8%10.78 USD9.96 USD0.01-22.361.4MOff
15 May 202610.53 USD-6.3%10.81 USD9.93 USD0.01-21.472.3MOff
8 May 202611.23 USD3.8%10.83 USD9.90 USD-0.16-17.192.3MOff
1 May 202610.82 USD1.3%10.82 USD9.87 USD-0.52-16.591.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.