HUBG NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hub Group Inc · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

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Latest close 46.53 USD
-5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a 3.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 24/100.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 46.53 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.6% latest completed week
4W Return 3.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.5%. Indicator stack 39/71 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 35/100 conviction; expected move 14.8%. News sentiment 24/100 19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 9.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a 3.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7812-week average 0.61

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.78Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.5% over four weeks, 8.8% over 12 weeks, and 40.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.6%
4W3.5%
12W8.8%
26W-1.6%
52W40.3%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change34.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1982.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 68%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength34/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth5/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework31/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
28.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
48.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-3.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-44.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

HUBG shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.00, expected move of 14.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction35/100
Expected move14.8%
Put/call volume1.00
Pressure9
Speculation4
Volatility80
Trend agreement87
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment24/100

Weighted news tone is negative across 19 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 16 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move14.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.0%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-12.9%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-5.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape58/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis50/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.78; 2 reversal markers Factors41/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 32; Small Cap Core rank 43 SVQF31/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 503.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options56/100

HUBG shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.00, expected move of 14.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 14.8% Sentiment24/100

Weighted news tone is negative across 19 relevant articles.

HUBG Shareholder Alert: Hub Group, Inc. Securities Class Action Lawsuit - Investors Should Contact SueWallSt Insiders0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.

 Research flow3 items

0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202646.53 USD-5.6%42.63 USD40.25 USD1.015.934.5MOn
24 Jul 202649.28 USD-3.8%42.50 USD40.22 USD0.9613.062.6MOn
17 Jul 202651.22 USD10.9%42.31 USD40.19 USD0.9615.955.0MOn
10 Jul 202646.20 USD2.8%42.05 USD40.12 USD0.730.663.0MOff
3 Jul 202644.94 USD2.7%41.93 USD40.08 USD0.75-0.323.2MOff
26 Jun 202643.75 USD-1.4%41.80 USD40.03 USD0.68-2.144.3MOff
19 Jun 202644.35 USD-4.4%41.61 USD40.00 USD0.50-5.253.0MOff
12 Jun 202646.38 USD8.0%41.35 USD39.96 USD0.411.683.7MOff
5 Jun 202642.93 USD3.6%40.98 USD39.91 USD0.18-3.633.6MOff
29 May 202641.42 USD0.2%40.73 USD39.87 USD0.05-11.263.5MOff
22 May 202641.34 USD11.0%40.56 USD39.84 USD-0.04-9.094.0MOff
15 May 202637.24 USD-12.9%40.36 USD39.81 USD-0.18-17.285.8MOff
8 May 202642.76 USD-0.7%40.33 USD39.80 USD-0.25-5.783.1MOn
1 May 202643.05 USD0.7%39.99 USD39.76 USD-0.40-0.122.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.