AMRC NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ameresco Inc · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

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Latest close 21.07 USD
-3.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -26.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a -17.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 21.07 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.1% latest completed week
4W Return -17.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -29.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.0%. Indicator stack 31/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.56% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 38/100 conviction; expected move 20.3%. News sentiment 52/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -26.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a -17.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3212-week average 0.35

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.0% over four weeks, -29.7% over 12 weeks, and 32.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.1%
4W-17.0%
12W-29.7%
26W-32.8%
52W32.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.99Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-764.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-35.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-65.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength62/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Value69/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Quality6/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Momentum76/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework16/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
36.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-41.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-57.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

AMRC shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.27, expected move of 20.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction38/100
Expected move20.3%
Put/call volume0.27
Pressure67
Speculation3
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

13 positive · 39 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move20.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-53.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.3%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-20.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-3.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.6% / -5.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape21/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis33/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.32; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.56%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.56% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors51/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 74; Small Cap Core rank 65 SVQF16/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 852.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

AMRC shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.27, expected move of 20.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 20.3% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

Ameresco, Inc. Revenue Breakdown – NYSE:AMRC Insiders12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202621.07 USD-3.1%28.47 USD27.02 USD-0.99-35.143.3MOff
24 Jul 202621.75 USD-5.9%28.79 USD27.20 USD-0.86-32.242.0MOff
17 Jul 202623.11 USD-7.3%29.07 USD27.43 USD-0.48-28.402.6MOff
10 Jul 202624.94 USD-1.8%29.29 USD27.66 USD-0.16-23.872.1MOff
3 Jul 202625.40 USD-5.3%29.46 USD27.85 USD0.15-21.272.1MOff
26 Jun 202626.82 USD-6.4%29.72 USD27.98 USD0.45-14.803.1MOff
19 Jun 202628.64 USD2.1%29.98 USD28.12 USD0.71-10.712.6MOff
12 Jun 202628.06 USD-1.4%30.07 USD28.24 USD0.83-11.203.2MOff
5 Jun 202628.46 USD-20.9%30.21 USD28.36 USD0.93-8.973.5MOff
29 May 202635.98 USD13.3%30.44 USD28.48 USD0.8412.843.0MOff
22 May 202631.77 USD-3.8%30.56 USD28.54 USD0.472.203.2MOff
15 May 202633.03 USD10.2%30.91 USD28.62 USD0.078.123.8MOff
8 May 202629.96 USD-4.5%31.14 USD28.68 USD-0.45-0.832.9MOff
1 May 202631.36 USD12.3%31.42 USD28.77 USD-0.697.082.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.