EGL ASX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The Environmental Group Limited · Industrials · Pollution & Treatment Controls

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Latest close 0.10 AUD
6.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -44.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 17 out of 100
Latest Close 0.10 AUD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.4% latest completed week
4W Return 6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -53.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 6.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%. Indicator stack 10/29 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 37.23% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -44.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0112-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, -53.5% over 12 weeks, and -64.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.4%
4W6.4%
12W-53.5%
26W-60.0%
52W-64.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change7.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-52.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change8.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 44%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework87/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-10.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-4.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
5.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-248.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
1/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

3 positive · 17 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-64.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.3%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-30.0%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+6.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains2
Flat weeks4
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol13.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split16/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -7.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape17/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 17/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.23%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.23% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 86; Buyback Yield rank 63; Small Cap Core rank 6 SVQF87/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 34.0 of 262 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

GUIDANCE: (GFL) GFL Environmental Now Expects 2026 Revenue Range C$7.51 Billion-C$7.53 Billion, Vs. FactSet Est of C$7.37 Billion Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20260.10 AUD6.4%0.18 AUD0.25 AUD-1.22-52.621.2MOff
24 Jul 20260.09 AUD-1.1%0.18 AUD0.25 AUD-1.34-55.20472.0KOff
17 Jul 20260.10 AUD5.6%0.19 AUD0.26 AUD-1.36-55.60639.9KOff
10 Jul 20260.09 AUD-4.3%0.19 AUD0.26 AUD-1.31-58.65775.3KOff
3 Jul 20260.09 AUD6.8%0.20 AUD0.26 AUD-1.32-57.721.5MOff
26 Jun 20260.09 AUD0.0%0.20 AUD0.26 AUD-1.23-60.65266.3KOff
19 Jun 20260.09 AUD-10.2%0.21 AUD0.26 AUD-1.18-61.512.8MOff
12 Jun 20260.10 AUD-14.8%0.21 AUD0.26 AUD-1.13-57.67402.6KOff
5 Jun 20260.12 AUD17.3%0.22 AUD0.26 AUD-0.95-49.984.6MOff
29 May 20260.10 AUD-30.0%0.22 AUD0.26 AUD-0.83-58.352.9MOff
22 May 20260.14 AUD-30.0%0.22 AUD0.26 AUD-0.69-40.806.3MOff
15 May 20260.20 AUD-7.0%0.23 AUD0.26 AUD-0.69-15.981.3MOff
8 May 20260.21 AUD0.0%0.23 AUD0.26 AUD-0.67-11.231.7MOff
1 May 20260.21 AUD3.6%0.23 AUD0.26 AUD-0.80-11.401.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.