DCO NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ducommun Incorporated · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 179.0 USD
0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 26.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -4.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 39/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 72 out of 100
Latest Close 179.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -4.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 30.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 60-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 26.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.9%, after a -4.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.89

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.1% over four weeks, 30.5% over 12 weeks, and 99.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 60 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.9%
4W-4.1%
12W30.5%
26W57.9%
52W99.8%
Active trend streak60 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-33.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership37.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-24.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value22/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Quality4/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
26.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-4.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-2.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-118.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-79.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

DCO shows bearish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.00, expected move of 12.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction39/100
Expected move12.8%
Put/call volume2.00
Pressure-26
Speculation8
Volatility87
Trend agreement66
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

20 positive · 26 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.5%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+0.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses1
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026179.0 USD0.9%141.2 USD79.60 USD1.0637.681.4MOn
24 Jul 2026177.4 USD5.3%138.4 USD78.74 USD1.2239.411.3MOn
17 Jul 2026168.5 USD2.1%135.7 USD77.92 USD1.4233.021.9MOn
10 Jul 2026165.1 USD-11.5%133.2 USD77.15 USD1.5429.491.6MOn
3 Jul 2026186.6 USD5.0%130.9 USD76.39 USD1.6049.751.3MOn
26 Jun 2026177.7 USD8.3%127.6 USD75.49 USD1.3947.591.9MOn
19 Jun 2026164.1 USD-0.3%124.8 USD74.63 USD1.1134.691.2MOn
12 Jun 2026164.5 USD9.8%122.2 USD73.86 USD0.8337.641.1MOn
5 Jun 2026149.9 USD-1.5%119.8 USD73.09 USD0.7627.50993.4KOn
29 May 2026152.2 USD5.4%117.7 USD72.42 USD0.6827.45864.9KOn
22 May 2026144.4 USD0.4%115.7 USD71.72 USD0.7023.85830.1KOn
15 May 2026143.8 USD4.8%114.3 USD71.06 USD0.8625.561.8MOn
8 May 2026137.2 USD-2.8%112.5 USD70.40 USD0.8721.301.0MOn
1 May 2026141.2 USD1.3%111.0 USD69.83 USD1.1028.90797.7KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.