AIRO NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 6.74 USD
-0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -11.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 36/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 10d.

Setup score 19 out of 100
Latest Close 6.74 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -11.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -8.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.29% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -11.3%. Indicator stack 0/58 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.29% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 36/100 conviction; expected move 26.5%. News sentiment 55/100 38 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 10d Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -11.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.3% over four weeks, -8.2% over 12 weeks, and -66.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.9%
4W-11.3%
12W-8.2%
26W-34.5%
52W-66.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-11.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-47.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength5/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality6/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth31/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-21.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
59.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-4.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-40.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-0.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-324.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-56.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-56.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-5.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

AIRO shows bullish options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.37, expected move of 26.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction36/100
Expected move26.5%
Put/call volume0.37
Pressure56
Speculation11
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.

12 positive · 21 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings10dNext report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move26.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-74.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+36.9%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-17.4%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-0.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses10
Recent vol13.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.4% / -7.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape19/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 19/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis25/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.29%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.29% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors10/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 97; Small Cap Core rank 71 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options39/100

AIRO shows bullish options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.37, expected move of 26.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 26.5% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.

L3Harris Stock And 2 Defense Picks With Long Term Contract Demand Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings10d

Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20266.74 USD-0.9%8.61 USD13.17 USD0.50-47.971.4MOff
24 Jul 20266.80 USD4.1%8.70 USD13.28 USD0.55-48.612.0MOff
17 Jul 20266.53 USD4.0%8.76 USD13.39 USD0.53-52.882.3MOff
10 Jul 20266.28 USD-17.4%8.81 USD13.51 USD0.53-58.001.7MOff
3 Jul 20267.60 USD9.7%8.88 USD13.64 USD0.57-50.272.2MOff
26 Jun 20266.93 USD-13.3%8.95 USD13.75 USD0.54-55.412.6MOff
19 Jun 20267.99 USD-0.5%9.00 USD13.87 USD0.53-52.281.9MOff
12 Jun 20268.03 USD-3.1%9.00 USD13.98 USD0.26-52.052.6MOff
5 Jun 20268.29 USD-7.7%9.07 USD14.10 USD0.04-50.763.5MOff
29 May 20268.98 USD36.9%9.25 USD14.21 USD-0.26-5.4MOff
22 May 20266.56 USD3.0%9.49 USD14.32 USD-0.52-2.2MOff
15 May 20266.37 USD-13.2%9.86 USD14.48 USD-0.46-3.8MOff
8 May 20267.34 USD-1.1%10.23 USD14.64 USD-0.43-1.7MOff
1 May 20267.42 USD-6.4%10.59 USD14.80 USD-0.36-2.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.