BFC NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Bank First National Corp · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 150.8 USD
2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 1.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 72 out of 100
Latest Close 150.8 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.8% latest completed week
4W Return 1.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 102-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 1.9%. Indicator stack 100/88 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 58/100 50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 1.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7912-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.9% over four weeks, 6.0% over 12 weeks, and 20.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 102 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.8%
4W1.9%
12W6.0%
26W10.2%
52W20.7%
Active trend streak102 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.85Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change288.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.58Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change288.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength58/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality91/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth88/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework71/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
20.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
74.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
34.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
25.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
24.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
17.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity2 / 1

2 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

20 positive · 25 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.8%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape75/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 75/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis56/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.79; 2 reversal markers Factors61/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 28; Small Cap Core rank 79 SVQF71/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 208.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

Bank First Corp (BFC) Shareholder Structure: Major Shareholders & Institutional Holdings Insiders2 / 1

2 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026150.8 USD2.8%139.9 USD103.1 USD0.853.58613.8KOn
17 Jul 2026146.6 USD-0.5%139.1 USD102.7 USD0.80-0.89551.5KOn
10 Jul 2026147.3 USD-2.9%138.6 USD102.3 USD0.60-4.65435.6KOn
3 Jul 2026151.8 USD2.6%138.2 USD101.8 USD0.52-0.10367.5KOn
26 Jun 2026147.9 USD4.1%137.4 USD101.3 USD0.22-1.89577.5KOn
19 Jun 2026142.1 USD-1.7%136.6 USD100.9 USD-0.21-10.00435.2KOn
12 Jun 2026144.6 USD3.4%136.0 USD100.5 USD-0.14-6.13475.2KOn
5 Jun 2026139.8 USD0.9%135.3 USD100.0 USD-0.34-7.23490.8KOn
29 May 2026138.5 USD-2.0%134.7 USD99.66 USD-0.32-12.37431.5KOn
22 May 2026141.3 USD0.5%134.1 USD99.26 USD-0.19-8.26659.3KOn
15 May 2026140.6 USD-3.7%133.8 USD98.80 USD-0.19-7.84349.9KOn
8 May 2026146.1 USD2.7%133.1 USD98.31 USD0.01-4.76371.7KOn
1 May 2026142.2 USD-1.0%132.4 USD97.78 USD0.18-2.36496.6KOn
24 Apr 2026143.7 USD2.0%131.9 USD97.27 USD0.130.06378.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.