GCBC NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Greene County Bancorp Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 33.00 USD
0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a 0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 33.00 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.5% latest completed week
4W Return 0.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 37.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.5%. Indicator stack 66/76 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 62/100 48 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a 0.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.73

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.5% over four weeks, 37.3% over 12 weeks, and 33.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.5%
4W0.5%
12W37.3%
26W51.2%
52W33.6%
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.55Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-25.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership24.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change18.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 67% Model confidence 67%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength59/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Value54/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality52/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Momentum54/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Growth54/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
7.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
36.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity3 / 1

3 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 48 relevant articles.

25 positive · 20 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+0.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses1
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape67/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis81/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.99; 2 reversal markers Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 48; Small Cap Core rank 52 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 48 relevant articles.

Greene County Bancorp (GCBC) Stock Sees Net Interest Margin Strength Reinforce Bullish Narratives Insiders3 / 1

3 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202633.00 USD0.5%25.41 USD26.09 USD1.5524.98246.7KOn
17 Jul 202632.85 USD2.4%25.06 USD26.09 USD1.7322.70136.2KOn
10 Jul 202632.07 USD-7.5%24.77 USD26.08 USD1.9314.97313.4KOn
3 Jul 202634.66 USD5.6%24.52 USD26.05 USD2.0326.51239.1KOn
26 Jun 202632.83 USD11.6%24.12 USD26.00 USD2.0721.14607.3KOn
19 Jun 202629.42 USD-2.5%23.78 USD25.97 USD1.963.94294.4KOn
12 Jun 202630.17 USD9.2%23.56 USD25.96 USD1.809.36180.0KOn
5 Jun 202627.62 USD5.3%23.29 USD25.96 USD1.602.5199.5KOn
29 May 202626.24 USD4.7%23.10 USD25.97 USD1.22-7.0644.5KOn
22 May 202625.07 USD1.1%22.95 USD25.97 USD1.17-8.9050.8KOn
15 May 202624.80 USD4.4%22.87 USD25.98 USD0.92-9.1455.5KOn
8 May 202623.76 USD-1.2%22.76 USD25.95 USD0.76-13.6136.9KOn
1 May 202624.04 USD3.0%22.68 USD25.91 USD0.79-8.3282.4KOn
24 Apr 202623.34 USD-1.1%22.60 USD25.87 USD0.46-10.0938.1KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.