VOD NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vodafone Group PLC ADR · Communication Services · Telecom Services

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Latest close 15.78 USD
4.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 20.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 15.78 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.2% latest completed week
4W Return 20.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.22% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 20.0%. Indicator stack 63/52 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 61.22% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 49/100 conviction; expected move 1.7%. News sentiment 55/100 45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 27 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a 20.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6512-week average 0.73

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 20.0% over four weeks, -0.8% over 12 weeks, and 49.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.2%
4W20.0%
12W-0.8%
26W9.7%
52W49.9%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change75.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change166.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth75/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
3.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
22.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
34.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
14.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

VOD shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 1.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction49/100
Expected move1.7%
Put/call volume0.13
Pressure88
Speculation40
Volatility15
Trend agreement6
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

15 positive · 25 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings27 JulLatest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.
Options expected move1.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.9%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-9.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+4.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape65/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis44/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.65; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 61.22%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.22% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors74/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 10 SVQF75/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 179.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

VOD shows bullish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 1.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 1.7% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

Vodafone Group PLC $VOD Shares Acquired by Sei Investments Co. Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings27 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615.78 USD4.2%14.71 USD10.00 USD-0.258.0921.3MOn
24 Jul 202615.15 USD-3.7%14.62 USD9.95 USD-0.584.7116.4MOn
17 Jul 202615.74 USD6.9%14.55 USD9.90 USD-0.777.3227.3MOn
10 Jul 202614.72 USD11.9%14.44 USD9.85 USD-1.12-3.4829.4MOff
3 Jul 202613.15 USD-5.3%14.36 USD9.81 USD-1.03-12.1019.0MOff
26 Jun 202613.89 USD-2.9%14.33 USD9.77 USD-1.01-6.3715.9MOn
19 Jun 202614.30 USD-7.9%14.28 USD9.73 USD-0.97-7.8512.0MOn
12 Jun 202615.53 USD5.6%14.19 USD9.69 USD-0.902.8119.8MOn
5 Jun 202614.70 USD0.1%14.06 USD9.64 USD-1.05-0.1415.1MOn
29 May 202614.68 USD0.1%13.95 USD9.59 USD-0.72-4.5011.8MOn
22 May 202614.66 USD1.8%13.84 USD9.55 USD-0.36-1.7613.7MOn
15 May 202614.41 USD-9.4%13.73 USD9.50 USD-0.14-2.2021.9MOn
8 May 202615.90 USD0.3%13.62 USD9.46 USD0.067.9124.2MOn
1 May 202615.85 USD3.3%13.45 USD9.41 USD0.0413.9626.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.