JEF NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Jefferies Financial Group Inc · Financial Services · Capital Markets

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Latest close 55.86 USD
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 13.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 58/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 58d.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 55.86 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return 13.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 63.17% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 13.8%. Indicator stack 17/51 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 63.17% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 58/100 conviction; expected move 7.3%. News sentiment 50/100 80 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 58d Next report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 13.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5112-week average 0.30

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.8% over four weeks, 14.2% over 12 weeks, and -0.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W13.8%
12W14.2%
26W-9.0%
52W-0.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-61.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change68.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value67/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Quality33/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework13/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
26.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
67.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
16.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
35.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
16.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

JEF shows bearish options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 33.58, expected move of 7.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction58/100
Expected move7.3%
Put/call volume33.58
Pressure-100
Speculation6
Volatility57
Trend agreement35
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 80 relevant articles.

11 positive · 60 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings58dNext report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.7%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-20.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -5.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape41/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis38/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.51; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 63.17%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 63.17% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors42/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 18; Small Cap Core rank 23 SVQF13/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 879.5 of 1006 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options31/100

JEF shows bearish options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 33.58, expected move of 7.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 7.3% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 80 relevant articles.

Jefferies Global Best Ideas List Has 5 US Dividend Stocks With Huge Total Return Potential Insiders12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings58d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202655.86 USD1.8%51.70 USD50.76 USD0.32-5.328.8MOff
17 Jul 202654.87 USD5.3%51.93 USD50.62 USD0.43-7.848.8MOff
10 Jul 202652.09 USD-1.0%52.14 USD50.49 USD0.59-14.157.3MOff
3 Jul 202652.62 USD7.2%52.44 USD50.36 USD0.79-12.4511.2MOff
26 Jun 202649.10 USD-20.9%52.62 USD50.22 USD0.84-16.9124.4MOff
19 Jun 202662.10 USD0.7%52.88 USD50.10 USD0.752.078.6MOff
12 Jun 202661.66 USD10.7%52.60 USD49.88 USD0.632.198.8MOff
5 Jun 202655.69 USD5.6%52.35 USD49.68 USD0.49-7.247.5MOff
29 May 202652.72 USD1.4%52.27 USD49.51 USD0.38-14.595.2MOff
22 May 202651.98 USD0.3%52.24 USD49.36 USD0.24-14.8010.4MOff
15 May 202651.83 USD-1.4%52.35 USD49.21 USD-0.01-14.5510.5MOff
8 May 202652.57 USD7.5%52.31 USD49.05 USD-0.23-13.4712.4MOff
1 May 202648.91 USD3.9%52.22 USD48.89 USD-0.50-17.9011.7MOff
24 Apr 202647.10 USD-1.3%52.62 USD48.75 USD-0.77-20.519.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.