- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.99% based on similar historical setup states.
LPX
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Latest close
72.43 USD
-2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -8.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.
Setup score
30
out of 100
Latest Close
72.43 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-8.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
3.8%
2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -8.7%.
Indicator stack
2/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.99%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
45/100 conviction; expected move 11.3%.
News sentiment
58/100
25 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
4d
Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -8.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2612-week average 0.18
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.26Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -8.7% over four weeks, -3.2% over 12 weeks, and -18.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-64.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.04Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-40.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength5/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth1/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework6/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 63.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 20.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 10.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 19.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 4.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 22.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -13.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -79.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -26.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
LPX shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.33, expected move of 11.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction45/100
Expected move11.3%
Put/call volume1.33
Insider activity7 / 4
7 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.
12 positive · 12 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-13.2%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -5.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.6%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Building Products & Equipment
4-week rank20 / 32
Group average-7.2%
Trend breadth40.6%
Trend40.6%active weekly trend signals
MD56.2%positive activity pressure
RS9.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis25/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.26; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.99%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.99% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors15/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 65; Small Cap Core rank 86 SVQF6/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 956.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options53/100LPX shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.33, expected move of 11.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 11.3% Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.
Louisiana-Pacific declares $0.30 quarterly dividend By Investing.com Insiders7 / 47 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 72.43 USD | -2.8% | 78.11 USD | 83.01 USD | 0.27 | -19.04 | 5.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 74.48 USD | 0.7% | 78.40 USD | 82.95 USD | 0.43 | -16.48 | 4.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 73.98 USD | 1.1% | 78.66 USD | 82.94 USD | 0.69 | -18.04 | 6.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 73.16 USD | -7.8% | 78.87 USD | 82.93 USD | 0.75 | -20.70 | 6.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 79.31 USD | -3.7% | 79.30 USD | 82.95 USD | 0.76 | -13.56 | 4.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 82.38 USD | 6.2% | 79.44 USD | 82.89 USD | 0.48 | -8.84 | 5.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 77.56 USD | 3.4% | 79.41 USD | 82.82 USD | 0.20 | -16.59 | 4.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 75.04 USD | 6.3% | 79.39 USD | 82.74 USD | -0.19 | -19.06 | 5.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 70.60 USD | -7.6% | 79.39 USD | 82.65 USD | -0.55 | -23.96 | 5.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 76.38 USD | 8.3% | 79.62 USD | 82.59 USD | -0.46 | -20.49 | 3.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 70.51 USD | 0.9% | 79.95 USD | 82.48 USD | -0.65 | -26.11 | 5.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 69.86 USD | -6.7% | 80.65 USD | 82.39 USD | -0.49 | -26.86 | 5.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 74.84 USD | 5.5% | 81.30 USD | 82.32 USD | -0.47 | -22.23 | 10.4M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 70.97 USD | -5.4% | 81.73 USD | 82.23 USD | -0.67 | -25.16 | 5.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.