JPX Equity Snapshot

5301 Weekly Equity Report

Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd.

Latest Close 1,817 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -4.3% latest completed week
4W Return 18.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 97.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon-related products and services in Japan. It offers graphite electrodes for use in electric furnaces, such as direct current, alternating current, and refining furnaces; and carbon black, including SEAST, TOKABLACK, Aqua Black, and Thermax black varieties, which are used to reinforce the rubber in tires, as well as used as a black pigment in various black-colored products. The company provides fine carbon products comprising special graphite products that include isotropic graphite G/HK series, extruded graphite, SiC coated carbon, C/C composite, glassy carbon, solid SiC, …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

5301 closed the latest completed week at 1,817 JPY. The 4-week return is 18.8% and the 12-week return is 97.8%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 1.67. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 76/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 59.2%
Volume 1.1x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 60 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 100 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 89 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 47 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 58 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
1,142 JPY
Vs Trend Line
59.2%
Fair Value
992.9 JPY
Vs Fair Value
83.0%
52W High
1,913 JPY
52W Low
878.0 JPY
Drawdown
-5.0%
Range Position
90.7%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -4.3%
4W 18.8%
12W 97.8%
26W 87.4%
52W 88.2%

Trend read

Active Streak
7 weeks
52W Active Weeks
34
52W Active Breadth
65.4%
Sector Scope
JP Basic Materials
Sector Rank
203 of 264
Sector Percentile
23.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
1.67
4W MD Change
117.6%
Relative Strength
28.26
4W RS Change
69.7%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
45.55%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
10.9M
13W Average
9.8M
52W Average
7.2M
Vs 13W
1.1x
Vs 52W
1.5x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
7.9%
52W Volatility
5.8%
Upside Weeks
28
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
5.2% / -3.1%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Specialty Chemicals
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
380.0B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 7-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 1,817 JPY -4.3% 1,142 JPY 992.9 JPY 1.67 28.26 10.9M On
5 Jun 2026 1,900 JPY 6.7% 1,115 JPY 988.7 JPY 1.74 33.18 12.7M On
29 May 2026 1,780 JPY 9.4% 1,084 JPY 983.6 JPY 1.52 25.55 11.9M On
22 May 2026 1,627 JPY 6.3% 1,059 JPY 979.1 JPY 1.31 20.21 12.9M On
15 May 2026 1,530 JPY 28.6% 1,041 JPY 975.7 JPY 0.77 16.65 23.5M On
8 May 2026 1,190 JPY 3.9% 1,025 JPY 973.1 JPY 0.19 -11.22 3.9M On
1 May 2026 1,146 JPY 8.7% 1,022 JPY 972.8 JPY -0.19 -10.33 8.2M On
24 Apr 2026 1,054 JPY 1.7% 1,017 JPY 972.7 JPY -0.46 -18.19 5.9M Off
17 Apr 2026 1,036 JPY 3.5% 1,017 JPY 973.1 JPY -0.45 -18.34 5.3M Off
10 Apr 2026 1,001 JPY 0.4% 1,015 JPY 973.5 JPY -0.48 -19.39 5.4M Off
3 Apr 2026 996.9 JPY 3.5% 1,016 JPY 974.2 JPY -0.37 -14.48 8.6M Off
27 Mar 2026 963.2 JPY 4.8% 1,017 JPY 974.9 JPY -0.25 -18.20 8.9M Off
20 Mar 2026 918.7 JPY -4.3% 1,018 JPY 976.1 JPY 0.07 -22.50 9.4M Off
13 Mar 2026 959.7 JPY -5.4% 1,021 JPY 977.1 JPY 0.35 -20.29 9.0M Off