BFS NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Saul Centers Inc · Real Estate · Reit - Retail

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Latest close 34.07 USD
-4.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.5%, after a -7.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 34.07 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.5% latest completed week
4W Return -7.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.9%. Indicator stack 72/49 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 34/100 conviction; expected move 11.3%. News sentiment 56/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.5%, after a -7.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.9% over four weeks, -3.2% over 12 weeks, and 13.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.5%
4W-7.9%
12W-3.2%
26W9.3%
52W13.4%
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.29Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-79.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-169.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength53/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality75/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Momentum68/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Growth9/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework18/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
23.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
74.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
39.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
109.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-21.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-32.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
9.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

BFS shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 11.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction34/100
Expected move11.3%
Put/call volume
Pressure12
Speculation0
Volatility72
Trend agreement82
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

17 positive · 21 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.1%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.2%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-4.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 6/12.

Activity pressure 0.95; 2 reversal markers Factors55/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 75; Small Cap Core rank 66 SVQF18/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 828.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

BFS shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 11.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 11.3% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

Regency Centers Corporation (REG) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Insiders9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202634.07 USD-4.5%34.06 USD32.64 USD0.29-3.30318.1KOn
24 Jul 202635.68 USD-2.6%33.94 USD32.61 USD0.852.25442.2KOn
17 Jul 202636.65 USD3.1%33.76 USD32.59 USD1.214.35455.4KOn
10 Jul 202635.55 USD-3.9%33.55 USD32.56 USD1.28-0.38525.3KOn
3 Jul 202636.98 USD-0.8%33.39 USD32.54 USD1.424.79331.5KOn
26 Jun 202637.26 USD5.1%33.13 USD32.49 USD1.417.73816.8KOn
19 Jun 202635.44 USD-3.8%32.89 USD32.44 USD1.01-0.01430.9KOn
12 Jun 202636.84 USD0.8%32.70 USD32.40 USD0.704.59401.5KOn
5 Jun 202636.54 USD5.4%32.44 USD32.36 USD0.254.16403.6KOn
29 May 202634.66 USD0.4%32.21 USD32.33 USD0.06-3.84272.2KOn
22 May 202634.53 USD4.6%32.01 USD32.29 USD0.13-3.12296.7KOn
15 May 202633.00 USD-6.2%31.86 USD32.25 USD0.22-6.85306.6KOn
8 May 202635.19 USD2.2%31.72 USD32.22 USD0.47-0.85263.9KOn
1 May 202634.42 USD-0.3%31.50 USD32.17 USD0.39-1.03264.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.