GEG NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Great Elm Group Inc · Financial Services · Asset Management

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Latest close 2.18 USD
0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 22.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a -10.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 32d.

Setup score 22 out of 100
Latest Close 2.18 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.2% latest completed week
4W Return -10.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.27% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -10.3%. Indicator stack 31/46 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.27% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 49/100 53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 32d Next report is scheduled for 01 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 22.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a -10.3% four-week move.

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52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4812-week average 0.23

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.48Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -10.3% over four weeks, 6.3% over 12 weeks, and 0.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.2%
4W-10.3%
12W6.3%
26W-3.5%
52W0.5%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-82.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-71.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value73/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum30/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
3.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-78.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
50.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-23.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
16.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
10.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity2 / 3

2 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

4 positive · 45 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings32dNext report is scheduled for 01 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.7%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-12.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+0.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks2
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol7.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape22/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis36/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.48; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.27%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.27% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors39/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 27 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

Great Elm Group, Inc. Revenue Breakdown – FWB:PNC Insiders2 / 3

2 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings32d

Next report is scheduled for 01 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20262.18 USD0.2%2.17 USD2.04 USD0.17-13.5311.3KOn
17 Jul 20262.17 USD0.2%2.18 USD2.04 USD0.45-15.3912.0KOff
10 Jul 20262.17 USD-1.4%2.19 USD2.04 USD0.75-19.2928.1KOff
3 Jul 20262.20 USD-9.5%2.20 USD2.04 USD0.87-17.0238.6KOff
26 Jun 20262.43 USD-12.0%2.22 USD2.04 USD0.96-7.8745.2KOff
19 Jun 20262.76 USD22.7%2.22 USD2.04 USD0.82-0.20139.3KOff
12 Jun 20262.25 USD-1.3%2.21 USD2.03 USD0.63-16.73102.4KOff
5 Jun 20262.28 USD6.0%2.22 USD2.03 USD0.56-14.1397.9KOff
29 May 20262.15 USD-0.5%2.22 USD2.03 USD0.46-23.0335.0KOff
22 May 20262.16 USD0.0%2.24 USD2.03 USD0.36-20.8714.3KOff
15 May 20262.16 USD0.9%2.25 USD2.03 USD0.19-20.3545.2KOff
8 May 20262.14 USD4.4%2.26 USD2.03 USD0.06-21.6734.5KOff
1 May 20262.05 USD0.0%2.27 USD2.03 USD-0.31-21.1921.1KOff
24 Apr 20262.05 USD-6.8%2.28 USD2.03 USD-0.66-20.3313.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.