VIE Equity Snapshot

WMG Weekly Equity Report

Warner Music Group Corp.

Latest Close 24.55 EUR 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -4.4% latest completed week
4W Return -13.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.5x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The company is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previously released music and video titles, as well as previously unreleased materials. It also owns and acquires rights to approximately two million musical compositions comprising pop hits, American standards, …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

WMG closed the latest completed week at 24.55 EUR. The 4-week return is -13.6% and the 12-week return is 19.2%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 1.05. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 44/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -1.7%
Volume 4.5x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 28 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 36 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 73 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 100 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 26 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
24.97 EUR
Vs Trend Line
-1.7%
Fair Value
26.91 EUR
Vs Fair Value
-8.8%
52W High
30.20 EUR
52W Low
20.15 EUR
Drawdown
-18.7%
Range Position
43.8%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -4.4%
4W -13.6%
12W 19.2%
26W 4.6%
52W 9.5%

Trend read

Active Streak
4 weeks
52W Active Weeks
13
52W Active Breadth
25.0%
Sector Scope
AT Communication Services
Sector Rank
55 of 61
Sector Percentile
10.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
1.05
4W MD Change
45.0%
Relative Strength
-21.59
4W RS Change
-450.1%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
55.57%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
474
13W Average
105
52W Average
50
Vs 13W
4.5x
Vs 52W
9.6x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
8.2%
52W Volatility
5.4%
Upside Weeks
28
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
4.0% / -4.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
VIE
Country
AT
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Currency
EUR
Market Cap
15.4B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.

Risk signals

  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 24.55 EUR -4.4% 24.97 EUR 26.91 EUR 1.05 -21.59 474 On
5 Jun 2026 25.69 EUR -13.2% 25.00 EUR 26.90 EUR 1.21 -15.99 411 On
29 May 2026 29.58 EUR -1.6% 24.99 EUR 26.87 EUR 1.26 -4.60 0 On
22 May 2026 30.06 EUR 5.7% 24.91 EUR 26.82 EUR 1.00 -0.48 0 On
15 May 2026 28.43 EUR 2.1% 24.85 EUR 26.76 EUR 0.73 -3.93 0 Off
8 May 2026 27.84 EUR 17.1% 24.82 EUR 26.72 EUR 0.49 -6.47 3 Off
1 May 2026 23.77 EUR -3.0% 24.78 EUR 26.68 EUR 0.19 -19.15 0 Off
24 Apr 2026 24.51 EUR -4.8% 24.93 EUR 26.67 EUR -0.10 -16.72 0 Off
17 Apr 2026 25.74 EUR 6.6% 25.04 EUR 26.68 EUR -0.53 -16.13 0 Off
10 Apr 2026 24.15 EUR 7.4% 25.12 EUR 26.68 EUR -0.92 -19.95 474 Off
3 Apr 2026 22.49 EUR 8.6% 25.25 EUR 26.69 EUR -1.04 -21.28 0 Off
27 Mar 2026 20.71 EUR 0.5% 25.42 EUR 26.71 EUR -0.82 -25.74 0 Off
20 Mar 2026 20.60 EUR -12.3% 25.65 EUR 26.76 EUR -0.59 -25.82 0 Off
13 Mar 2026 23.48 EUR -2.4% 25.88 EUR 26.80 EUR -0.28 -17.37 0 Off