GVA NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Granite Construction Incorporated · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Latest close 121.0 USD
-2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -17.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 32/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 121.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.8% latest completed week
4W Return -17.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -14.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -17.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.1% over four weeks, -14.7% over 12 weeks, and 31.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.8%
4W-17.1%
12W-14.7%
26W0.3%
52W31.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-154.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.67Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-161.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength55/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality71/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Momentum82/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
15.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
14.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
49.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-1.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

GVA shows bullish options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.52, expected move of 6.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction32/100
Expected move6.2%
Put/call volume0.52
Pressure33
Speculation29
Volatility49
Trend agreement28
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.

22 positive · 22 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.9%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-16.1%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026121.0 USD-2.8%130.0 USD85.20 USD-0.63-7.677.9MOff
24 Jul 2026124.5 USD0.4%129.9 USD84.69 USD-0.30-3.823.2MOff
17 Jul 2026124.0 USD1.3%129.7 USD84.15 USD0.45-4.555.1MOn
10 Jul 2026122.5 USD-16.1%129.4 USD83.62 USD0.86-7.054.4MOn
3 Jul 2026145.9 USD-8.9%129.2 USD83.09 USD1.1712.413.0MOn
26 Jun 2026160.3 USD9.4%127.9 USD82.40 USD1.1826.747.5MOn
19 Jun 2026146.5 USD4.3%126.2 USD81.62 USD0.7114.003.4MOn
12 Jun 2026140.5 USD-0.5%124.7 USD80.93 USD0.4810.863.5MOn
5 Jun 2026141.2 USD3.3%123.5 USD80.28 USD0.3712.594.1MOn
29 May 2026136.7 USD5.3%122.0 USD79.62 USD0.306.722.9MOn
22 May 2026129.8 USD-6.2%120.9 USD78.99 USD0.413.145.4MOn
15 May 2026138.4 USD-2.3%120.0 USD78.38 USD0.1711.203.5MOn
8 May 2026141.8 USD1.8%118.9 USD77.73 USD-0.0614.633.3MOn
1 May 2026139.3 USD12.9%117.7 USD77.05 USD-0.3315.903.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.