AGC ASX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Australian Gold and Copper Limited · Basic Materials · Gold

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Latest close 0.14 AUD
12.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -25.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.5%, after a 17.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 0.14 AUD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 12.5% latest completed week
4W Return 17.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -20.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 12.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 17.4%. Indicator stack 35/33 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 37.69% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 53/100 15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -25.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.5%, after a 17.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0112-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.4% over four weeks, -20.6% over 12 weeks, and -20.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W12.5%
4W17.4%
12W-20.6%
26W-42.6%
52W-20.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change26.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change29.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 24% Model confidence 13%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength75/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Value69/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Quality68/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Momentum69/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Growth69/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
0/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

3 positive · 12 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-59.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-20.7%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+12.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains1
Flat weeks2
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol9.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.1% / -7.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape23/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.69%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.69% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors69/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 25; Small Cap Core rank 39 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

Australian Gold and Copper Ltd (ASX:AGC) strengthening Achilles and gold-silver outlook Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20260.14 AUD12.5%0.18 AUD0.17 AUD-1.06-27.86462.2KOff
17 Jul 20260.12 AUD-4.0%0.18 AUD0.17 AUD-1.25-36.30280.2KOff
10 Jul 20260.12 AUD4.2%0.19 AUD0.17 AUD-1.28-33.99443.9KOff
3 Jul 20260.12 AUD4.3%0.19 AUD0.17 AUD-1.37-37.16921.9KOff
26 Jun 20260.12 AUD-11.5%0.19 AUD0.17 AUD-1.45-39.491.0MOff
19 Jun 20260.13 AUD13.0%0.20 AUD0.17 AUD-1.52-32.3426.4KOff
12 Jun 20260.12 AUD-20.7%0.20 AUD0.17 AUD-1.45-40.13456.9KOff
5 Jun 20260.14 AUD-6.5%0.20 AUD0.17 AUD-1.32-23.37824.1KOff
29 May 20260.15 AUD-6.1%0.20 AUD0.16 AUD-1.25-19.39337.3KOff
22 May 20260.17 AUD-2.9%0.20 AUD0.16 AUD-1.17-13.54864.1KOff
15 May 20260.17 AUD0.0%0.20 AUD0.16 AUD-1.21-10.61667.0KOff
8 May 20260.17 AUD0.0%0.21 AUD0.16 AUD-1.22-11.64886.2KOff
1 May 20260.17 AUD6.3%0.21 AUD0.16 AUD-1.21-11.35736.9KOff
24 Apr 20260.16 AUD-3.0%0.21 AUD0.16 AUD-1.27-16.97459.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.