FSBC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Five Star Bancorp · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 47.19 USD
0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a -3.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 86d.

Setup score 74 out of 100
Latest Close 47.19 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 51-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.0%. Indicator stack 99/71 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.07% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 48/100 conviction; expected move 26.6%. News sentiment 60/100 48 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 86d Next report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a -3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.93

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.0% over four weeks, 13.1% over 12 weeks, and 65.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 51 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.8%
4W-3.0%
12W13.1%
26W21.3%
52W65.3%
Active trend streak51 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.26Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-24.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-11.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength93/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality82/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
60.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
34.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
26.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
19.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
38.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

FSBC shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.28, expected move of 26.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction48/100
Expected move26.6%
Put/call volume0.28
Pressure65
Speculation13
Volatility96
Trend agreement32
Open options detail
Insider activity15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

21 positive · 24 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings86dNext report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move26.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-4.5%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape78/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis82/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.99; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.07%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.07% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors84/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 57; Small Cap Core rank 65 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

FSBC shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.28, expected move of 26.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 26.6% Sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

FSBC|Five Star Bancorp|Price:47.390|Chg%:-0.440 Insiders15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings86d

Next report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202647.19 USD0.8%41.48 USD29.19 USD1.2614.68939.8KOn
24 Jul 202646.81 USD-4.1%41.07 USD29.03 USD1.3915.012.2MOn
17 Jul 202648.81 USD2.0%40.71 USD28.87 USD1.5318.62568.9KOn
10 Jul 202647.87 USD-1.6%40.29 USD28.70 USD1.6212.15647.1KOn
3 Jul 202648.66 USD0.5%39.91 USD28.52 USD1.6716.57468.5KOn
26 Jun 202648.44 USD8.0%39.43 USD28.34 USD1.6617.621.1MOn
19 Jun 202644.87 USD0.2%38.94 USD28.16 USD1.264.67786.8KOn
12 Jun 202644.76 USD4.0%38.55 USD28.00 USD0.947.63638.1KOn
5 Jun 202643.02 USD1.9%38.19 USD27.84 USD0.486.26662.6KOn
29 May 202642.23 USD0.6%37.88 USD27.70 USD0.13-0.06334.5KOn
22 May 202641.96 USD3.9%37.63 USD27.54 USD0.172.34487.8KOn
15 May 202640.39 USD-3.2%37.39 USD27.39 USD0.12-0.10480.5KOn
8 May 202641.74 USD2.2%37.10 USD27.24 USD0.303.01347.5KOn
1 May 202640.84 USD1.5%36.72 USD27.08 USD0.306.40534.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.