HAYW NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hayward Holdings Inc · Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Latest close 15.13 USD
4.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a -10.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 58/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 15.13 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.9% latest completed week
4W Return -10.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a -10.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2612-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.26Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -10.8% over four weeks, 3.8% over 12 weeks, and -0.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.9%
4W-10.8%
12W3.8%
26W-6.3%
52W-0.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-41.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-66778.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality66/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Momentum27/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
22.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
30.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-54.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

HAYW shows bearish options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.00, expected move of 9.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction58/100
Expected move9.9%
Put/call volume8.00
Pressure-90
Speculation8
Volatility68
Trend agreement46
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 7

13 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

20 positive · 31 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move9.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615.13 USD4.9%15.14 USD14.43 USD0.50-9.8919.4MOff
24 Jul 202614.43 USD0.5%15.16 USD14.43 USD0.69-13.4413.0MOff
17 Jul 202614.36 USD-9.8%15.21 USD14.42 USD0.97-14.6917.3MOff
10 Jul 202615.92 USD-6.2%15.27 USD14.41 USD1.01-7.2212.7MOff
3 Jul 202616.97 USD2.9%15.27 USD14.39 USD0.86-0.0115.4MOff
26 Jun 202616.49 USD9.9%15.24 USD14.36 USD0.42-0.7512.6MOff
19 Jun 202615.00 USD2.7%15.24 USD14.33 USD-0.00-11.8711.7MOff
12 Jun 202614.61 USD3.8%15.26 USD14.31 USD-0.29-13.5611.0MOff
5 Jun 202614.07 USD-0.3%15.29 USD14.29 USD-0.48-16.539.9MOff
29 May 202614.11 USD1.9%15.35 USD14.27 USD-0.44-18.708.4MOff
22 May 202613.85 USD1.7%15.44 USD14.26 USD-0.27-19.4013.8MOff
15 May 202613.62 USD-6.6%15.50 USD14.24 USD-0.20-20.3918.7MOff
8 May 202614.58 USD-3.1%15.55 USD14.23 USD-0.20-15.0414.4MOff
1 May 202615.05 USD-2.0%15.56 USD14.21 USD-0.39-10.6520.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.